Phase III ctDNA-guided switch to camizestrant + CDK4/6i in HR+/HER2- ABC with emergent ESR1 mutation. PFS HR 0.44; ODAC voted 6-3 against on Apr 30, 2026 — NOT FDA approved.
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Trial slides shared by KOLs at ASCO 2025 LBA4 / NEJM. Click any image to expand. OCR text extracted via AWS Textract.
Highest-engagement tweets about this trial, ranked by KOL discussant count (replies + quote-tweets). Replies in green, quote-tweets in blue. Wall Street, stock-promo, and non-substantive replies excluded.
The @NEJM has published SERENA-6 data ahead of @ASCO #ASCO25 plenary. Cami joins other SERDS (elacestrant, imlunestrant, vepdegestrant) with activity in ESR1mut BC Key questions to think about ahead of session: https://t.co/iROohAJG5k
1. Intensive ctDNA screening of 10 patients to find 1 who might qualify for 'switching' based on ESR1mut. Worthwhile? 2. Does switching among asymptomatic patients with no radiological progression make sense when drug c
3. Is this fundamentally different than switching treatment based on small upticks in serum tumor markers, without overt progression? 4. Adds to data from EMBER-3 that SERD + CDK46i looks to be effective. Is 2nd line C
https://t.co/3KHSlaUZ60 https://t.co/JAAh1SWJKz
What we really need to 👀, what we patients want to see, is ⏰ to PFS2 & ultimately OS. For some an oral SERD may be more tolerable than an AI (I’m a patient who has been on AIs/CERANs/injected SERDs so I’m allowed to use
Lead time bias can’t be ruled out and pts in the control arm should have been offered the intervention at clinical progression. This design is like seeing people falling off a cliff and only offering the benefit to some,
The #SERENA6 phase 3 trial is positive: a switch to camizestrant + CDK4/6i (vs continuation of AI + CDK4/6i) upon emergence of ESR1 mutations led to a significant improvement in PFS. PFS2 and OS, which will be key to interpret the results, remain immature. https://t.co/hm2o9EhT5t
Now how to get your oncologist to do the test?
In my opinion PFS2 and OS are the important points.
The new way of thinking regarding the evaluation of the response. The New Era in Oncology ☺️.
Será que é clinicamente significante? E o custo justificará o tamanho do benefício? @xai gerou esta imagem de Marte pensando no tamanho do benefício #Grok3 https://t.co/cWhWiHdT8h
SERENA-6: ctDNA guided approach to switching from AI to camizestrant upon development of ESR1m in combo with cdk4/6i demonstrates improvement in PFS! PFS2 + OS immature Could be a paradigm shift + could introduce ctDNA monitoring into practice https://t.co/eP2RKeK6QE
But need to see overall PFS and OS in SERENA6 (ESR1m in ctDNA - early switch to cami + CDK4/6) vs. switching to/sequential elacestrant at progression on CDK4/6 + NSAI and + ESR1m?
Estamos nos preparados pra usar o ctDNA ? Qual custo da medicação e o tamanho do benefício? https://t.co/IC3G0I260A
Metastatic HR+ #BreastCancer #SABCS highlights w/ @hoperugo: ✅ #AMBRE ✅ #MONALEESA ✅ #VIKTORIA1 ✅ #SERENA6 ✅ #evERA ✅ #EMBER3 ✅ #ASCENT07 Full Discussion: ⭐️ https://t.co/13d2vTlika ⭐️ “Oncology Brothers” podcast #OncTwitter #bcsm @OncoAlert @OncUpdates https://t.co/GD
As anticipated, SERENA-6 creates a lot of questions. PFS-2 is immature and crossover was not allowed; given PFS on postMonarch & EMBER-3 combo, it is unclear to me that early switch based on molecular disease is practice changing. #ASCO25 https://t.co/dnUqTLZbGp
SERENA-6 is the first registrational Phase III trial to use circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA)-guided therapy switching to address emergent endocrine resistance in HR+/HER2- advanced breast cancer. Patients on 1L aromatase inhibitor (AI) plus CDK4/6 inhibitor were monitored every 2-3 months for ESR1 mutations; upon ctDNA detection (without clinical or radiologic progression), patients were randomized to switch to camizestrant (next-generation oral SERD) plus their ongoing CDK4/6 inhibitor or continue the AI plus CDK4/6 inhibitor. The trial demonstrated a 56% reduction in risk of disease progression or death and substantially preserved quality of life. Camizestrant has received FDA Breakthrough Therapy Designation; however, the FDA's Oncologic Drugs Advisory Committee (ODAC) voted 6-3 against recognizing clinically meaningful benefit on April 30, 2026, citing immature OS data, PFS2 acceptability concerns, and cardiac AEs in combination with ribociclib. The FDA's final action on NDA 220359 is pending.
Camizestrant received FDA Breakthrough Therapy Designation based on SERENA-6 results. NDA 220359 was filed for camizestrant in combination with a CDK4/6 inhibitor for HR+/HER2- advanced breast cancer with emergent ESR1 mutation. On April 30, 2026, the FDA's Oncologic Drugs Advisory Committee voted 6-3 AGAINST recognizing clinically meaningful benefit, citing immature OS, PFS-2 acceptability concerns, and ribociclib-combination cardiac risk. The trial is NOT FDA approved. ODAC votes are advisory and non-binding; FDA's final action is pending.
ODAC vote: ODAC vote: 6-3 against (April 30, 2026); FDA decision pending
Population: Adults with HR+/HER2- locally advanced or metastatic breast cancer on 1L AI (anastrozole or letrozole) plus CDK4/6 inhibitor (palbociclib, ribociclib, or abemaciclib) for ≥6 months without progression, with ESR1 mutation detected in ctDNA during routine monitoring.
Interventions: Camizestrant (oral, once daily) + ongoing CDK4/6 inhibitor versus continued AI (anastrozole or letrozole) + same CDK4/6 inhibitor. Switch triggered by ctDNA-detected ESR1 mutation prior to clinical progression.
Endpoints: Primary: investigator-assessed PFS per RECIST 1.1. Key secondary: OS, time to second disease progression (PFS2). Exploratory: time to deterioration in QoL (EORTC QLQ-C30).
Median PFS was 16.0 months (95% CI 12.7-18.2) with camizestrant versus 9.2 months (95% CI 7.2-9.5) with continued AI (HR 0.44; 95% CI 0.31-0.60; p<0.00001) — a 56% reduction in risk of progression or death. 12-month PFS rates: 60.7% vs 33.4%; 24-month PFS rates: 29.7% vs 5.4%. PFS2 HR 0.52 (95% CI 0.33-0.81; p=0.0038), with 12-month PFS2 rates of 85.4% vs 74.4%. Time to deterioration in QoL: 23.0 vs 6.4 months (HR 0.53; p<0.001). OS data immature at primary analysis.
Grade 3+ AEs from all causes: 60% (camizestrant) vs 46% (AI), majority hematologic from CDK4/6i: neutropenia (45% vs 34%), leukopenia (10% vs 3%). Photopsia (reversible peripheral light flashes) reported with camizestrant — no structural eye changes or impact on daily activities. Treatment discontinuation rates very low: 1% camizestrant, 2% AI; CDK4/6i discontinuation 1% in both arms.
Paolo Tarantino summarized the topline: “The #SERENA6 phase 3 trial is positive: a switch to camizestrant + CDK4/6i (vs continuation of AI + CDK4/6i) upon emergence of ESR1 mutations led to a significant improvement in PFS,” while flagging that “PFS2 and OS, which will be key to interpret the results, remain immature.” Sara Tolaney framed the practical implication: “Could be a paradigm shift + could introduce ctDNA monitoring into practice.” Stephanie Graff dissented sharply: “As anticipated, SERENA-6 creates a lot of questions. PFS-2 is immature and crossover was not allowed; given PFS on postMonarch & EMBER-3 combo, it is unclear to me that early switch based on molecular disease is practice changing.” Harold Burstein noted that “@NEJM has published SERENA-6 data ahead of @ASCO #ASCO25 plenary” and that camizestrant “joins other SERDS (elacestrant, imlunestrant, vepdegestrant) with activity in ESR1mut BC.” The April 2026 ODAC reversal sharpened these open questions — the field is now waiting on the FDA’s final NDA decision before the PFS-only signal becomes practice.