Phase III tucatinib + T-DM1 vs placebo + T-DM1 in HER2+ metastatic breast cancer. Sustained PFS HR 0.74; final OS HR 0.98 — not significant.
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Trial slides shared by KOLs at ESMO Breast 2026 (#ESMOBreast26). Click any image to expand. OCR text extracted via AWS Textract.
Highest-engagement tweets about this trial, ranked by KOL discussant count (replies + quote-tweets). Replies in green, quote-tweets in blue. Wall Street, stock-promo, and non-substantive replies excluded.
@myESMO #ESMOBC26 HER2 Climb 02. TDM1 + tucatinib no OS benefit. PFS better but more toxic. Seems this combo should not move fwd! Tucatinib has better and highly effective settings/combos. @curijoey @OncoAlert https://t.co/gYn1W6pNGD
HER2CLIMB-02 expertly presented by @curijoey T-DM1 +/- tucatinib for HER2+ MBC No difference in overall survival seen Updated PFS analysis confirms benefit ITT PFS 9.5 vs 7.4 mo (HR 0.739) BM PFS: 7.8 vs 5.7 mo (HR 0.608) #ESMOBreast26 @OncoAlert
HER2CLIMB-02 is a Phase III randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial evaluating tucatinib + T-DM1 vs T-DM1 + placebo in patients with previously treated HER2-positive locally advanced or metastatic breast cancer. Primary analysis at SABCS 2023 demonstrated significant PFS improvement with the tucatinib combination. The final OS update presented at ESMO Breast 2026 by Giuseppe Curigliano confirmed continued PFS benefit (including in patients with brain metastases) but did NOT show a statistically significant OS improvement.
Population: Adults with HER2+ unresectable locally advanced or metastatic BC previously treated with trastuzumab and a taxane (in any setting). Brain metastases (treated or untreated, stable) eligible — important for tucatinib's CNS activity.
Interventions: Tucatinib 300 mg PO BID + T-DM1 3.6 mg/kg IV Q21D (or matching placebo + T-DM1). Treatment until progression, unacceptable toxicity, or withdrawal.
Endpoints: Primary: PFS by investigator. Secondary: OS, PFS by BICR, ORR, DoR, PFS in patients with brain metastases, safety.
Updated PFS: median 9.5 months tucatinib+T-DM1 vs 7.4 months control (HR 0.74). Brain metastasis subgroup PFS: 7.8 vs 5.7 months (HR 0.608, per Tolaney live capture). Final OS analysis at data cutoff 10 October 2025 (50.7 months median follow-up): total population median OS 43.3 vs 41.0 months (HR 0.983, 95% CI 0.762–1.269; stratified log-rank p=0.8959). Brain metastasis OS: 35.8 vs 34.4 months (HR 0.886, 95% CI 0.616–1.275; p=0.5146) — also not statistically significant. PFS benefit observed in primary analysis is maintained but did not translate into OS advantage. Confirmed ORR was numerically higher with tucatinib (42.0% vs 36.1%) [Annals Oncol 2025]. Subsequent systemic therapy use was similar between arms (83.7% tucatinib vs 87.8% control); T-DXd was the preferred first subsequent anti-HER2 therapy in both arms [ESMO Breast 2026 423RO, DCO 10 Oct 2025].
Per the Annals of Oncology 2025 primary publication [Annals Oncol 2025], the most common treatment-emergent AEs (tucatinib + T-DM1 vs placebo + T-DM1) were: nausea 65.4% vs 49.4%; diarrhea 56.7% vs 26.6%; fatigue 48.9% vs 37.3%. Grade ≥3 ALT and AST elevations each occurred in 16.5% (n=38) tucatinib vs 2.6% (n=6) control. TEAEs leading to any treatment discontinuation: 22.1% (n=51) tucatinib vs 11.6% (n=27) control. TEAEs leading to death: 1.3% (n=3) tucatinib vs 0.9% (n=2) control. The ESMO Breast 2026 updated safety analysis identified no new signals [ESMO Breast 2026 423RO, DCO 10 Oct 2025]. Tucatinib’s CNS activity (previously established in HER2CLIMB-01) remains a key rationale for evaluating it in HER2+ MBC with brain involvement.
Hope Rugo’s verdict was unambiguous: “HER2 Climb 02. TDM1 + tucatinib no OS benefit. PFS better but more toxic. Seems this combo should not move fwd! Tucatinib has better and highly effective settings/combos.” Sara Tolaney reported the numbers straight: “No difference in overall survival seen. Updated PFS analysis confirms benefit. ITT PFS 9.5 vs 7.4 mo (HR 0.739). BM PFS: 7.8 vs 5.7 mo (HR 0.608).” The OCR-captured conclusion slide confirmed that “the final OS analysis after 50.7 months of follow-up did not show a statistically significant difference between treatment arms,” while the updated PFS analysis “confirmed the benefit of tucatinib + T-DM1 over the control arm in previously treated patients with HER2+ LA/MBC.” KOL volume on this trial was relatively low — Rugo and Tolaney carried most of the interpretive weight, with no public dissenting voice on Rugo’s “should not move fwd” read.
| Handle | Name | Sentiment | Tweet (excerpt) | Imp. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| @DrRishabhOnco | Dr Rishabh Jain | Neutral | 💊 PFS win. OS flat. HER2CLIMB-02 updated results at #ESMOBreast26 👇 👥 HER2+ MBC | n=463 🧠 Brain mets included 🟢 PFS… | 754 |
| @stolaney1 | Sara Tolaney | Neutral | HER2CLIMB-02 expertly presented by @curijoey T-DM1 +/- tucatinib for HER2+ MBC No difference in overall survival seen … | 685 |
| @DrRishabhOnco | Dr Rishabh Jain | Neutral | #ESMOBreast26 HER2CLIMB-02 update: Tucatinib + T-DM1 improved PFS earlier. But mature OS data are now negative. 🧪 Tuc… | 518 |
| @hoperugo | Hope Rugo | Neutral | @myESMO #ESMOBC26 HER2 Climb 02. TDM1 + tucatinib no OS benefit. PFS better but more toxic. Seems this combo should not … | 500 |