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NATALEE Trial

Adjuvant HR+/HER2- early BC - Novartis

Adjuvant HR+/HER2- early BC Ribociclib (Kisqali) AACR 2024 ASCO 2026 · PAM50 Biomarker ESMO 2026 · LBA25 6-Year OS FDA Approved
See the ESMO 2026 6-Year OS Update →

Physician reactions to the 6-year OS data

Posts by physicians about NATALEE during ESMO 2026 week (October 17–24, 2026), shown in full and verbatim, newest first, and linked to the originals on X. Several ask whether the OS result is formally significant; others weigh the size of the absolute gain.

NonsparseOncologist
NonsparseOncologist@5_utr
𝕏

NATALEE 6-year follow up is the best example of the mess that results in the Frequentist framework both in terms of multiplicity, and testing for any effect, even trivial 🧵 https://t.co/0Y587qAU0D

975 views 4 likes5 RT 2026-10-24
Nurullah İlhan,MD
Nurullah İlhan,MD@drnurullahilhan
𝕏

#NATALEE at 6 years: sustained iDFS benefit with adjuvant ribociclib. iDFS: 83.2% vs 77.9%. OS favored ribociclib; nominal significance only, with descriptive analysis outside formal testing. Assoc. Prof. Nurullah İlhan #ESMO2026 #BreastCancer #OncoTwitter https://t.co/ghHUlehacF

133 views 1 likes0 RT 2026-10-24
MV Chandrakanth
MV Chandrakanth@ChandrakanthMv
𝕏

NATALEE | ESMO 2026 3 Years of Ribociclib. Is the Survival Benefit Finally Emerging? 🔹 6-year OS: 91.86% vs 89.73% HR 0.809 | Nominal P = 0.019 Absolute gain: +2.1% 🔹 6-year iDFS: 83.23% vs 77.92% HR 0.741 | Absolute gain: +5.3% 🔹 iDFS benefit increased from +4.1% at 5 years to +5.3% at 6 years, despite a median 38 months off ribociclib. TAKE-HOME: Sustained iDFS benefit with an encouraging OS signal. Formal OS statistical significance requires confirmation. Ref: Slamon DJ, Hortobagyi GN, et al. NATALEE 6-year OS and efficacy outcomes. ESMO 2026. #MVOnco #ESMO2026 #NATALEE #BreastCancer

898 views 12 likes6 RT 2026-10-23
Timothée Olivier, MD
Timothée Olivier, MD@Timothee_MD
𝕏

#ESMO26 NATALEE 6-y OS results are online, ahead of today's presentation (2:25 pm). OS HR 0.809 (95% CI 0.661–0.989); 6-y OS: 91.9% vs 89.7% (Δ2.1%). Nominal 1-sided P=.019. What remains key? 👉 Post-protocol care! See why in my talk at @MDAnderson_ES 👇 https://t.co/ilGjsTQl3s

652 views 9 likes4 RT 2026-10-23
Yakup Ergün
Yakup Ergün@dr_yakupergun
𝕏

Today at #ESMO26, the 6-year results of NATALEE will be presented. Ahead of the presentation, my personal view on the survival gains with adjuvant CDK4/6 inhibitors… The 6-year OS rates in NATALEE were 91.86% vs 89.73%: an absolute gain of 2.1 percentage points (HR 0.809; 95% CI 0.661–0.989; nominal one-sided p=0.019). The absolute 7-year OS gain in monarchE was 1.8 percentage points (HR 0.842; p=0.027). I do not think these gains should be dismissed as “only 2%.” In the EBCTCG analysis, adding taxanes to anthracycline-based chemotherapy—an approach we have accepted as standard for years—provided an absolute 5-year OS gain of approximately 1.9 percentage points. The populations and follow-up periods differ, so we cannot directly compare treatment efficacy. However, the standards we use to judge a few percentage points of survival benefit should be consistent. Moreover, 95.4% of patients in monarchE had already received chemotherapy. This survival gain represents an additional benefit on top of chemotherapy and endocrine therapy. Patient selection, toxicity, treatment duration, and cost certainly deserve discussion. However, the survival benefit of adjuvant CDK4/6 inhibitors in appropriately selected patients should not be underestimated.

552 views 12 likes4 RT 2026-10-23
Noah Lindenberg, MD Oncologist-Hematologist
Noah Lindenberg, MD Oncologist-Hematologist@nlindenberg
𝕏

Not ready to call NATALEE an OS win. The p=.019 is one sided and nominal, on the 5th look at survival. More than twice as many control pts dropped out right after randomization, and post-relapse CDK4/6i use in the control arm hasn't been reported . https://t.co/ZfOdph2e93

507 views 2 likes2 RT 2026-10-23
Carlos Gonzalez
Carlos Gonzalez@DrMedOnco
𝕏

NATALEE OS: no formal significance; the analysis is descriptive (nominal P, no alpha). monarchE, by contrast, had a prespecified alpha-controlled OS analysis and met it. NATALEE: HR ~0.80 stable, Δ2.1%, BCSS supportive. Clinically meaningful, not confirmatory. #ESMO26 #NATALEE #MonarchE

175 views 4 likes1 RT 2026-10-23
Yakup Ergün
Yakup Ergün@dr_yakupergun
𝕏

#ESMO26 | NATALEE – 6-year results (Pre-presentation abstract) 6-year OS: 92.73% vs 89.38% (HR 0.809; nominal p=0.019). iDFS: HR 0.741; absolute benefit of 4.1% at 6 years. In monarchE, a 7-year OS benefit was demonstrated (HR 0.842; p=0.027). NATALEE also shows a promising OS signal; however, formal statistical significance has not yet been established. Looking forward to the presentation....

Context: the LBA25 abstract in this post (data cutoff 15 May 2026) reports OS of 93.89% vs 92.73% at 5 years and 91.86% vs 89.73% at 6 years (HR 0.809; nominal one-sided P=0.019), and an absolute iDFS benefit of 4.1% at 5 years and 5.3% at 6 years.
5.6K views 18 likes5 RT 2026-10-23
Dr Amol Akhade
Dr Amol Akhade@SuyogCancer
𝕏

can u suggest me a good magnifying glass ? Asking for a friend 😀 @myESMO #esmo26 As expected, no one talks about nominal p value. https://t.co/aGWpPg4U4M

3.8K views 39 likes5 RT 2026-10-23
Yakup Ergün
Yakup Ergün@dr_yakupergun
𝕏

Looks like the discussant is on my side too, Amol! 😉 We acknowledge the limitations of the nominal p-value, but I think it would be unfair to judge ribociclib’s clinical benefit solely on that basis. https://t.co/gQtuwasEEp https://t.co/absCmwDmqD

3.5K views 14 likes1 RT 2026-10-23
Sara Tolaney
Sara Tolaney@stolaney1
𝕏

NATALEE: OS data Adjuvant ribociclib in ER+ breast cancer 6 yr OS HR 0.809 (delta 2.1%) BCSS: 0.706 (delta 2.6%) 6 yr iDFS HR 0.741 (delta ~5%) DDFS: HR 0.744 @OncoAlert #ESMO26

2.6K views 17 likes12 RT 2026-10-23
ProfJohnCrown
ProfJohnCrown@ProfJohnCrown
𝕏

Great news! NATALEE is positive for overall survival. Great presentation from Dr Slamon. Big thanks to all the patients, and research nurses who risked themselves during COVID to make this study a success. #ESMO26 #ESMO2026 https://t.co/eqTqJ8Mg83

1.2K views 13 likes3 RT 2026-10-23
Mali Barbi, MD MSc | Breast & Gyn Oncologist
Mali Barbi, MD MSc | Breast & Gyn Oncologist@DrBarbiOnc
𝕏

#NATALEE OS is here. HR 0.81, 178 vs 205 deaths, 6-year OS difference 2.1%. monarchE was HR 0.84, 1.8% at 7 years. Two CDK4/6 inhibitors, two schedules, strikingly similar survival effect. The OS gap widens after ribociclib stops at year 3, as expected since deaths lag relapses. More importantly, the iDFS curve is still separating after treatment ended. And control patients who relapsed could get a CDK4/6i for metastatic disease, which should shrink the OS difference. The benefit held. What NATALEE adds over monarchE is N0, about 12% of the trial. The iDFS signal is there. N0 OS will be underpowered for a long time, so that conversation in clinic stays an iDFS conversation. #bcsm #ESMO26

1.1K views 24 likes6 RT 2026-10-23
Bijoy Telivala
Bijoy Telivala@BijoyTelivala
𝕏

We as the oncology community need to think hard if the 2 % OS benefit in Natalee is worth the financial cost esp outside US Herizon data looks great and should be SOC https://t.co/gdQI5jMQmn

1.1K views 3 likes4 RT 2026-10-23
Elisa Agostinetto
Elisa Agostinetto@ElisaAgostinett
𝕏

One of the most awaited abstracts of #ESMO26: OS results of the NataLEE trial Adjuvant ribociclib provides statistically significant ⬆️ OS: delta of 1.2% at 60 months and 2.1% at 72 months (6-years) Confirmed and sustained benefit in IDFS, DDFS and DRFS @OncoAlert https://t.co/XMjNQqwtJH

1.1K views 27 likes12 RT 2026-10-23
Hope Rugo
Hope Rugo@hoperugo
𝕏

#ESMO26. The start to an exciting meeting - first two oral BC sessions today. The first session with OS data from Natalee, long term benefit from extended letrozole in B42, huge benefits from 3 novel ADCs in HER2 low/HR+ & Talent. @OncoAlert https://t.co/NsYeBeQYPH

1.1K views 17 likes6 RT 2026-10-23
Oncology Brothers
Oncology Brothers@OncBrothers
𝕏

1. NATALEE: Adj #Ribociclib in HR+ early breast cancer (Stg IIA - III), 400mg daily (3wks on, 1wk off) for 3yrs. - 6yr OS 91.9% vs 89.7, 2.1% absolute OS - HR: 0.809 - AEs: QTc prolongation, Neutropenia. 2/8 https://t.co/W0vqAprD7m https://t.co/2LVGfDDH5L

818 views 5 likes1 RT 2026-10-23
Noah Lindenberg, MD Oncologist-Hematologist
Noah Lindenberg, MD Oncologist-Hematologist@nlindenberg
𝕏

Two percentage points is small. We accepted it for taxanes, sure, but that doesn't make it the right bar. NATALEE's OS p-value is nominal, and we don't know how many controls got a CDK4/6i at relapse (in monarchE only 47% got one in 1L), so some of this could be CDK4/6i vs none rather than early vs late. Also open-label, and 7.9% of controls withdrew consent at randomization vs 3.3% on ribo.

763 views 8 likes1 RT 2026-10-23
MV Chandrakanth
MV Chandrakanth@ChandrakanthMv
𝕏

🧬 NATALEE | 6-Year Update 3 years of ribociclib. 6 years of impact? 6 facts that may surprise you! 👀 📌 iDFS benefit widens: +4.1% → +5.3% 📌 OS signal emerges: HR 0.809 — but no alpha allocated! 📌 Benefit persists after a median 38 months off ribociclib. What about breast cancer-specific survival, the Asian subgroup, treatment completion and subsequent CDK4/6 inhibitor use? One cartoon. Two infographics. Six insights. The numbers are encouraging. The nuances matter. Slamon et al. | Annals of Oncology, 2026 #ESMO26 #NATALEE #BreastCancer #Ribociclib #MVOnco @myESMO @OncoAlert

684 views 10 likes0 RT 2026-10-23
Aya Mohamed | MSc, MD 🎗
Aya Mohamed | MSc, MD 🎗@Dr_Oncologista
𝕏

NATALEE: 6-Year Update at #ESMO26 Adjuvant ribociclib + NSAI continues to improve iDFS in HR+/HER2− early breast cancer, with updated data showing an OS benefit (HR 0.81; 95% CI, 0.66–0.99) and improved #BreastCancer –specific survival. @OncoAlert #bcsm @myESMO https://t.co/MUiDWRxCjG

656 views 22 likes6 RT 2026-10-23
Stephanie Graff, MD, FACP, FASCO
Stephanie Graff, MD, FACP, FASCO@DrSGraff
𝕏

NATALEE 6-year OS analysis shows modest (early…given what we just saw in NSABP42…) improvement in OS. IDFS benefit persists over time. #ESMO26 @OncoAlert https://t.co/sNIIKpV3aG

543 views 9 likes5 RT 2026-10-23
Evandro de Azambuja, MD, PhD
Evandro de Azambuja, MD, PhD@E_de_Azambuja
𝕏

6-year results of Natalee (ribociclib): improvements in OS, BCSS, iDFS, DRFS - some subgroups analyses still required #ESMO26 #ESMOAmbassadors #ESMOcommunity @myESMO @Annals_Oncology https://t.co/acLnDZoxka

488 views 17 likes8 RT 2026-10-23
Sherene Loi, MD
Sherene Loi, MD@LoiSher
𝕏

#ESMO26 Natalee 6 year data with improvement in OS including in node negative & no prior chemo patients - with online publication in @Annals_Oncology #bcsm #ESMOAmbassadors @OncoAlert https://t.co/ABh6KQBC7R

454 views 11 likes6 RT 2026-10-23
Kristina Jankovic, MD
Kristina Jankovic, MD@JankovicK
𝕏

Encouraging 6-year #NATALEE results presented at #ESMO26 ! 🎯 Adjuvant ribociclib + NSAI shows a deepening iDFS benefit and favourable OS results in HR+/HER2− early #BreastCancer @OncoAlert https://t.co/h5qTnzff5L

452 views 5 likes4 RT 2026-10-23
Aydah AlAwadhi, MD 🇦🇪
Aydah AlAwadhi, MD 🇦🇪@Aydah_AlAwadhi
𝕏

🚨 ESMO 2026 | NATALEE: Positive OS at 6 yrs! 🔹 OS: HR 0.809 (95% CI 0.661–0.989), P=0.019 🔹 6-yr OS: 91.9% vs 89.7% (Δ 2.1%) 🔹 BCSS: HR 0.706 (~29% ↓ BC mortality) 🔹 iDFS/DDFS/DRFS: ~5% absolute benefit at 6 yrs 🔹 OS benefit generally consistent across subgroups 🔹 Post-recurrence CDK4/6i: 21% vs 44.4% Take-home: First positive OS results from NATALEE, supporting adjuvant RIB in HR+/HER2− EBC. #ESMO26 #NATALEE #BreastCancer #bcsm @OncoAlert

384 views 5 likes1 RT 2026-10-23
Abeid Athman (Omar).
Abeid Athman (Omar).@bin_abeid
𝕏

The updated NATALIE trial shows sustained and deepening of the DFS after longer follow up. At this point the absolute gain in OS is 2.1% #ESMO2026 @E_de_Azambuja @matteolambe @myESMO @BarbaraPistill2 @jhaveri_komal https://t.co/dtxlJFKGo0

200 views 2 likes0 RT 2026-10-23
Pablo Jara Martin
Pablo Jara Martin@pablojaramartin
𝕏

I see the benefit in high-risk, node-positive patients, especially after the NSABP B-42 data presented at #ESMO26. However, I have more doubts about the N0 population in NATALEE. Great topic!@Rodrosb

179 views 2 likes0 RT 2026-10-23
Sara Soliman, MD
Sara Soliman, MD@sara_soliman7
𝕏

#ESMO26 | NATALEE: 6-year outcomes Adjuvant ribociclib + NSAI vs NSAI alone in eligible HR+/HER2− stage II–III EBC: ▪️ OS HR 0.809 (95% CI 0.661–0.989) Absolute 6-year benefit: 2.1 percentage points ▪️ IDFS HR 0.741 (95% CI 0.646–0.849) Absolute 6-year benefit: 5.3 percentage points Benefit persists with patients off ribociclib for a median of ~3 years. 𝘔𝘺 𝘬𝘦𝘺 𝘲𝘶𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯: 𝘐𝘯 𝘤𝘭𝘪𝘯𝘪𝘤𝘢𝘭𝘭𝘺 𝘦𝘭𝘪𝘨𝘪𝘣𝘭𝘦 𝘱𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘦𝘯𝘵𝘴 𝘸𝘪𝘵𝘩 𝘭𝘰𝘸 𝘖𝘯𝘤𝘰𝘵𝘺𝘱𝘦 𝘋𝘟 𝘙𝘚 𝘢𝘯𝘥/𝘰𝘳 𝘭𝘰𝘸 𝘰𝘷𝘦𝘳𝘢𝘭𝘭 𝘳𝘦𝘤𝘶𝘳𝘳𝘦𝘯𝘤𝘦 𝘳𝘪𝘴𝘬, 𝘦𝘴𝘱𝘦𝘤𝘪𝘢𝘭𝘭𝘺 𝘕0 𝘥𝘪𝘴𝘦𝘢𝘴𝘦, 𝘪𝘴 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘢𝘣𝘴𝘰𝘭𝘶𝘵𝘦 𝘣𝘦𝘯𝘦𝘧𝘪𝘵 𝘭𝘢𝘳𝘨𝘦 𝘦𝘯𝘰𝘶𝘨𝘩 𝘵𝘰 𝘫𝘶𝘴𝘵𝘪𝘧𝘺 3 𝘺𝘦𝘢𝘳𝘴 𝘰𝘧 𝘳𝘪𝘣𝘰𝘤𝘪𝘤𝘭𝘪𝘣, 𝘤𝘰𝘯𝘴𝘪𝘥𝘦𝘳𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘵𝘰𝘹𝘪𝘤𝘪𝘵𝘺, 𝘮𝘰𝘯𝘪𝘵𝘰𝘳𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘣𝘶𝘳𝘥𝘦𝘯, 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘘𝘖𝘓? #BreastCancer #NATALEE

174 views 1 likes1 RT 2026-10-23
Armando Orlandi
Armando Orlandi@ArmandOrlandi
𝕏

Cowabunga! 🌊 Riding the Early & Adjuvant Breast Cancer Wave 🏄🏻‍♂️🤙🏻 from #ESMO26 NATALEE, 6 yrs: ribociclib overall survival hazard ratio 0.81, +2.1%. Encouraging, concordant, consistent. But: no alpha, nominal p, fragility ~2–3 deaths. @OncoDaily #OncoDailyAmbassador @OncoAlert

150 views 0 likes0 RT 2026-10-23
Dr Amol Akhade
Dr Amol Akhade@SuyogCancer
𝕏

NATALEE at 6 years: Ribociclib + NSAI vs NSAI alone in HR+/HER2− early breast cancer: • 6-year OS: 91.86% vs 89.73% • OS HR 0.809 (95% CI 0.661–0.989); nominal 1-sided P=0.019 • Absolute OS benefit: 2.1% • 6-year iDFS: 83.23% vs 77.92% • iDFS HR 0.741 (95% CI 0.646–0.849) • Absolute iDFS benefit: 5.3% Is OS significant? Looking forward to full data .@Timothee_MD @myESMO @OncBrothers @OncoAlert #ESMO26 #BreastCancer #NATALEE

2.7K views 31 likes11 RT 2026-10-22
Mustafa Özdoğan, MD
Mustafa Özdoğan, MD@ozdogan_md
𝕏

Six years into NATALEE, the key question is no longer whether adjuvant ribociclib improves iDFS. Does the benefit remain durable-and is an OS signal emerging? LBA25 at #ESMO26, led by Dennis J. Slamon, with investigators @KalinskyKevin @LoiSher. What would change your practice most: absolute iDFS gain, OS maturity, or long-term treatment burden? #bcsm

455 views 15 likes8 RT 2026-10-22
Timothée Olivier, MD
Timothée Olivier, MD@Timothee_MD
𝕏

#ESMO26 tomorrow the 6-y survival results of the NATALEE trial will be presented in Madrid, 2:25 pm trial = 3 years adjuvant ribociclib in patients with HR+ HER2- early breast cancer. what will be key? 👉 Post-protocol data see why in my talk today at @MDAnderson_ES! https://t.co/L2GO43fOYR

962 views 8 likes5 RT 2026-10-22

NATALEE Key Takeaways

6-year analysis — ESMO 2026 LBA25 (October 23, 2026)

The ESMO 2026 LBA25 abstract (Slamon et al.) reports a prespecified analysis of overall survival and efficacy with 6 years of follow-up. At the data cutoff (15 May 2026), all patients were off ribociclib for a median of 38 months. Dennis J. Slamon presents it in the Proffered Paper session on Friday, October 23, 2026, 14:25–14:35.

From the abstract — ribociclib 400 mg/day (3 weeks on, 1 week off, for 3 years) + NSAI vs NSAI alone, high-risk stage II–III HR+/HER2− early breast cancer:

  • Overall survival: 6-year OS 91.86% vs 89.73% (absolute difference 2.1%); 5-year OS 93.89% vs 92.73% (1.2%); HR 0.809 (95% CI 0.661–0.989); nominal one-sided P=.019 (ESMO 2026 LBA25 abstract, DCO 15-May-2026, median OS f/u 66.5 mo). The abstract reports this P-value as nominal.
  • Breast cancer–specific survival: HR 0.706 (95% CI 0.559–0.890) (ESMO 2026 LBA25 abstract, DCO 15-May-2026)
  • iDFS: 6-year iDFS 83.23% vs 77.92% (absolute difference 5.3%); 5-year iDFS 85.32% vs 81.24% (4.1%); HR 0.741 (95% CI 0.646–0.849); nominal one-sided P<.0001 (ESMO 2026 LBA25 abstract, DCO 15-May-2026, median iDFS f/u 66.3 mo)
  • Distant outcomes: DDFS HR 0.744 (95% CI 0.646–0.858); DRFS HR 0.738 (95% CI 0.634–0.858) (ESMO 2026 LBA25 abstract, DCO 15-May-2026)
  • Safety: the abstract reports no new safety signals

Earlier OS readouts on this page come from earlier data cuts and are separate analyses: HR 0.89 (95% CI 0.66–1.20) at the final iDFS analysis, and HR 0.800 (95% CI 0.637–1.003; nominal one-sided p=0.026) at the 5-year analysis presented at ESMO 2025. Some posts on X quoted 6-year figures that differ from the abstract; the values above are taken from the abstract text.

Sources: ESMO 2026 LBA25 abstract  ·  ClinicalTrials.gov NCT03701334

Invasive Disease-Free Survival (iDFS)

At the final iDFS analysis (median follow-up 33.3 months), ribociclib plus ET demonstrated a significant iDFS benefit with HR 0.749 (95% CI: 0.628-0.892; p=0.0006). The 3-year iDFS rates were 90.7% versus 87.6%, a 3.1% absolute benefit. At the 4-year landmark analysis (44.2 months median follow-up), the benefit was sustained with HR 0.715 (95% CI: 0.609-0.840; p<0.0001). At the 5-year analysis (58.4 months median follow-up), HR was 0.716 (95% CI: 0.618-0.829; nominal p<0.0001), with 5-year iDFS rates of 85.5% versus 81.0%, representing a 4.5% absolute improvement and a 28.4% reduction in risk of recurrence sustained approximately 2 years after completing ribociclib treatment.

iDFS HR 0.716 — 28% risk reduction at 5 years

Source: JCO / SABCS Publication

Overall Survival (OS)

At the final iDFS analysis, there were 84 deaths (3%) on the ribociclib arm and 88 deaths (3%) on the ET-alone arm, with an OS HR of 0.89 (95% CI: 0.66-1.20). At the 5-year analysis, the OS trend favored ribociclib with HR 0.800 (95% CI: 0.637-1.003; nominal 1-sided p=0.026), but the trial was not powered for OS. At the 6-year analysis (ESMO 2026 LBA25 abstract, DCO 15-May-2026, median OS follow-up 66.5 months), 6-year OS was 91.86% vs 89.73% (HR 0.809; 95% CI 0.661–0.989; nominal one-sided P=.019) and breast cancer–specific survival HR was 0.706 (95% CI 0.559–0.890).


Source: Novartis 5-Year ESMO 2025 Press Release  ·  Source: ESMO 2026 LBA25 abstract (6-year OS)

Safety & Tolerability

The 400 mg dose showed a predictable and manageable safety profile. Grade 3+ neutropenia occurred in 44.3% but rarely led to clinical complications (febrile neutropenia 0.3%, no neutropenia deaths). Hepatotoxicity occurred in 26.4% (grade 3+: 8.6%), with DILI in 0.4% including 8 Hy's Law cases, all resolving after discontinuation. QTc prolongation was infrequent at 5.3% all-grade (grade 3+: 1.0%), with no Torsades de Pointes. Treatment discontinuation due to AEs was 19.5%, primarily from elevated transaminases (ALT 7.1%) occurring early (median ~4 months). Dose interruptions occurred in 86.1% and dose reductions in 26.7%, primarily for neutropenia. Median relative dose intensity was 94.0%.

Manageable at 400mg — 19.5% AE discontinuation

Source: FDA Label / sNDA Review

Regulatory status & clinical implications — FDA approved Sept 17, 2024 for adjuvant HR+/HER2- stage II-III EBC at high risk, with an AI. (FDA.gov) NATALEE established adjuvant ribociclib as the standard of care for the broadest population of HR+/HER2- early breast cancer patients at risk of recurrence, including those with node-negative disease. The 5-year data showing sustained benefit approximately 2 years after completing 3 years of treatment supports a durable biological effect. Key clinical debates include the optimal selection between ribociclib (NATALEE) and abemaciclib (monarchE) given their different patient populations and dosing strategies, the 3-year treatment duration versus the 2-year duration used with abemaciclib, and whether the lower 400 mg dose adequately balances efficacy and tolerability for long-term adjuvant use.

Sponsor / Drug — Novartis; ribociclib (Kisqali), an oral CDK4/6 inhibitor, 400 mg 3-weeks-on/1-off for 36 months. (FDA label)

Compiled and reviewed by the KOL Pulse research team, led by Brian Shields, Founder, KOL Pulse. Last updated October 24, 2026.

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NATALEE Key Slides & Visuals

ESMO 2026 slides

Presented by Dennis J. Slamon, MD, PhD (LBA25, Proffered Paper Session, Oct 23, 2026), with discussant Fumikata Hara, as shared by physicians. Each slide appears once, from the physician post with the widest reach. The 6-year results are descriptive (nominal P values). Click any image to enlarge.

Dr Amol Akhade
Dr Amol Akhade @SuyogCancer · #ESMO26 · Oct 22, 2026
LBA25 abstract (programme site): background, methods, results and conclusions
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[Image 1] Proffered Paper session LBA25 - Adjuvant ribociclib (RIB) + nonsteroidal aromatase inhibitor (NSAI) in patients (pts) with HR+/HER2− early breast cancer (EBC): NATALEE 6-y overall survival (OS) and efficacy outcomes Speakers Dennis J. Slamon (Los Angeles, United States of America) Lecture Time 14:25 - 14:35 [Abstract] Background The phase 3 NATALEE trial demonstrated a statistically significant invasive disease−free survival (iDFS) benefit with adjuvant RIB + NSAI in pts with high-risk stage II/III HR+/HER2− EBC. We present a prespecified analysis of OS and efficacy outcomes with 6 y of follow-up. --- [Image 2] Methods Pts with HR+/HER2− EBC were randomized 1:1 to receive RIB (400 mg/d; 3 wk on/1 wk off for 3 y) + NSAI (letrozole 2.5 mg/d or anastrozole 1 mg/d for 5 y) or NSAI alone. Premenopausal women and men also received goserelin. Pts had stage IIA (if N1 or if N0 with additional high-risk factors), stage IIB, or stage III disease per AJCC, 8th ed. OS, breast cancer−specific survival (BCSS), iDFS, distant disease−free survival (DDFS), and distant recurrence−free survival (DRFS) were evaluated via Kaplan-Meier methods. Statistical comparisons were conducted by stratified log-rank test. --- [Image 3] Results At the data cutoff (15 May 2026), all pts were off RIB for a median of 38 mo and beyond the predefined NSAI study regimen. With a median OS follow-up of 66.5 mo, RIB + NSAI showed an OS benefit over NSAI alone (HR, 0.809 [95% CI: 0.661-0.989]; nominal 1-sided P=.019), with increasing absolute benefit over time from 1.2% (93.89% vs 92.73%) at 5 y to 2.1% (91.86% vs 89.73%) at 6 y, that was consistent across key subgroups. BCSS (HR, 0.706 [95% CI: 0.559-0.890]) was supportive of OS benefit. With a median iDFS follow-up of 66.3 mo, RIB + NSAI demonstrated a persistent iDFS benefit over NSAI alone (HR, 0.741 [95% CI: 0.646-0.849]; nominal 1-sided P<.0001), with the absolute iDFS benefit increasing from 4.1% (85.32% vs 81.24%) at 5 y to 5.3% (83.23% vs 77.92%) at 6 y. DDFS (HR, 0.744 [95% CI: 0.646-0.858]) and DRFS (HR, 0.738 [95% CI: 0.634-0.858]) benefits were also maintained. No new safety signals were observed. Conclusions With 6 y of follow-up and all pts off RIB (median, ≈3 y), the sustained reduction in recurrence risk and positive OS results with RIB + NSAI over NSAI alone continue to demonstrate a substantial and clinically relevant benefit for pts with high-risk stage II/III HR+/HER2− EBC, supporting the use of RIB + NSAI in the adjuvant setting across the broad NATALEE-eligible population.
Yakup Ergün
Yakup Ergün @dr_yakupergun · #ESMO26 · Oct 23, 2026
Dennis J. Slamon, LBA25: design, 6-year OS, OS subgroups and BCSS
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Overall survival, 6-year prespecified analysis (median follow-up 66.5 months)
ArmNOS events60-mo OS72-mo OS
Ribociclib + NSAI254917893.9%91.9%
NSAI alone255220592.7%89.7%
Difference 1.2% at 60 mo and 2.1% at 72 mo (slide footnote: does not equal 2.2 due to rounding). HR 0.809 (95% CI 0.661–0.989); nominal P=0.019, one-sided, descriptive.
Breast cancer–specific survival (median follow-up 66.5 months)
ArmNBCSS events60-mo BCSS72-mo BCSS
Ribociclib + NSAI254912695.5%94.2%
NSAI alone255216694.0%91.6%
Difference 1.5% at 60 mo and 2.6% at 72 mo. HR 0.706 (95% CI 0.559–0.890); nominal P=.002, one-sided.
[Image 1] NATALEE: open-label, multicenter, randomized, phase 3 trial1,2 Adult patients with stage II or III HR+/HER2- EBC - Prior ET allowed up to 12 months - Anatomical stage IIAa - N1 - N0 with: - Grade 2 and evidence of high risk: - Ki-67 >=20% - Oncotype DX Breast Recurrence Score >=26 or - High risk via genomic risk profiling - Grade 3 - Anatomical stage IIBa - N0 or N1 - Anatomical stage III - N0, N1, N2, or N3 N = 5101 R 1:1 RIB 400 mg/day 3 weeks on/1 week off for 3 y + NSAI Letrozole or anastrozoleb for >=5 y + goserelin in men and premenopausal women NSAI Letrozole or anastrozoleb for >=5 y + goserelin in men and premenopausal women Primary end point: iDFS using STEEP criteria Secondary end points: OS, DDFS, RFS; PROs; Safety and tolerability; PK Exploratory end points: DRFS, BCSS; Gene expression and alterations in tumor ctDNA/ctRNA samples Efficacy outcomes for the 6-year analysis were estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method, and the results are descriptive. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to estimate the HRs and 95% CIs. Timeline (Median iDFS follow-up): Primary analysis3 27.7 mo | Final iDFS4 33.3 mo | 4-year exploratory5 44.2 mo | 5-year prespecified6 55.4 mo | 6-year prespecified 66.3 mo Current readout | and beyond BCSS, breast cancer-specific survival; ctDNA/RNA, circulating tumor DNA/RNA; DDFS, distant disease-free survival; DRFS, distant recurrence-free survival; EBC, early breast cancer; ET, endocrine therapy; HR+/HER2-, hormone receptor positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 negative; HR, hazard ratio; iDFS, invasive disease-free survival; N, node; NSAI, nonsteroidal aromatase inhibitor; OS, overall survival; PK, pharmacokinetics; PRO, patient-reported outcome; RIB, ribociclib; RFS, recurrence-free survival; STEEP, Standardized Definitions for Efficacy End Points. a Enrollment of patients with stage II disease was capped at 40%. b Per investigator choice. 1. ClinicalTrials.gov. Accessed 26 August 2026. https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT03701334. 2. Slamon D et al. Ther Adv Med Oncol. 2023;15:1-16. 3. Slamon D et al. New Engl J Med. 2024;390(12):1080-1091. 4. Hortobagyi G et al. Ann Oncol. 2025;36(2):149-157. 5. Fasching PA et al. JAMA Oncol. 2025;11(11):1364-1372. 6. Crown J et al. ESMO Open. 2025;10(11):105858. Dennis J. Slamon, MD, PhD Content of this presentation is copyright and responsibility of the author. Permission is required for re-use. [ESMO Congress Madrid 2026 logo] --- [Image 2] Survival-curve slide: the printed values are in the numbers table above. --- [Image 3] Consistent OS benefit across key subgroups Columns: RIB + NSAI Events/n | 6-y OS rate, % | NSAI alone Events/n | 6-y OS rate, % | 6-y Δ, % | HR (95% CI) | HR | 95% CI ITT 178/2549 | 91.86 | 205/2552 | 89.73 | 2.1 | 0.809 | 0.661-0.989 SUBGROUPS Region North America/Western Europe/Oceania 103/1563 | 91.96 | 113/1565 | 90.63 | 1.3 | 0.859 | 0.657-1.122 Rest of world 75/986 | 91.70 | 92/987 | 88.38 | 3.3 | 0.776 | 0.572-1.053 Menopausal status Premenopausal women and men [boxed] 53/1126 | 94.60 | 71/1132 | 92.17 | 2.4 | 0.705 | 0.494-1.006 Postmenopausal women 125/1423 | 89.73 | 134/1420 | 87.88 | 1.9 | 0.884 | 0.692-1.129 Prior CTa Yes 167/2249 | 91.23 | 187/2245 | 89.20 | 2.0 | 0.834 | 0.677-1.028 No 11/300 | 96.41 | 18/307 | 93.25 | 3.2 | 0.623 | 0.294-1.320 Prior ET Yes 117/1833 | 92.61 | 126/1807 | 91.07 | 1.5 | 0.858 | 0.667-1.105 No 61/716 | 90.09 | 79/745 | 86.65 | 3.4 | 0.767 | 0.549-1.072 AJCC stage Stage II [boxed] 39/1012 | 96.16 | 47/1034 | 94.48 | 1.7 | 0.830 | 0.543-1.269 Stage III 139/1527 | 88.60 | 158/1512 | 85.98 | 2.6 | 0.798 | 0.635-1.003 Nodal statusb N0 [boxed] 15/285 | 94.39 | 21/329 | 92.22 | 2.2 | 0.790 | 0.407-1.533 N1-N3 163/2261 | 91.48 | 184/2218 | 89.31 | 2.2 | 0.817 | 0.661-1.009 Ki-67 statusc Ki-67 <=20% 68/1200 | 93.70 | 81/1241 | 91.58 | 2.1 | 0.827 | 0.598-1.143 Ki-67 >20% 80/919 | 89.57 | 93/932 | 87.27 | 2.3 | 0.812 | 0.602-1.095 Axis 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0: Favors RIB + NSAI | Favors NSAI alone AJCC, American Joint Committee on Cancer; CT, chemotherapy; ET, endocrine therapy; HR, hazard ratio; ITT, intent to treat; N, node; NSAI, nonsteroidal aromatase inhibitor; OS, overall survival; RIB, ribociclib. a Includes neoadjuvant and adjuvant chemotherapy. b Nodal status classification according to AJCC staging. Nodal status is from the most advanced stage derived per surgical specimen or at diagnosis. c From archival tumor tissue. Dennis J. Slamon, MD, PhD Content of this presentation is copyright and responsibility of the author. Permission is required for re-use. [ESMO Congress Madrid 2026 logo] --- [Image 4] Survival-curve slide: the printed values are in the numbers table above.
Paolo Tarantino
Paolo Tarantino @PTarantinoMD · #ESMO26 · Oct 23, 2026
Dennis J. Slamon, LBA25: iDFS continues to deepen over time
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Invasive disease–free survival (median follow-up 66.3 months)
ArmNiDFS events60-mo iDFS72-mo iDFS
Ribociclib + NSAI254937485.3%83.2%
NSAI alone255246181.2%77.9%
Difference 4.1% at 60 mo and 5.3% at 72 mo. HR 0.741 (95% CI 0.646–0.849); nominal P<.0001, one-sided.
[Image 1] Survival-curve slide: the printed values are in the numbers table above.
Kazuki Nozawa, MD
Kazuki Nozawa, MD @kazuki_nozawa · #ESMO26 · Oct 23, 2026
Dennis J. Slamon, LBA25: conclusions
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[Image 1] Conclusions - In the NATALEE trial, this 6-year analysis demonstrates a positive OS result, with a 2.1% absolute OS benefit with RIB + NSAI vs NSAI alone across the broad study population - OS benefit with RIB + NSAI has consistently shown a ≈ 20% reduction in the risk of death over NSAI alone and is supported by a BCSS benefit (≈ 30% reduction in risk of breast cancer-related death) - The rate of patients alive with metastatic disease was lower in the RIB + NSAI arm (5.0%) than in the NSAI-alone arm (6.8%) - Patients treated with RIB + NSAI showed ≈ 5% absolute improvements in 6-year iDFS, DDFS, and DRFS rates over those treated with NSAI alone, which continue to deepen - With patients off RIB (median, 38 months) and beyond the protocol-defined NSAI treatment regimen duration, the safety profile of RIB remains unchanged This prespecified 6-year analysis of NATALEE supports the use of RIB + NSAI to reduce recurrence risk and ultimately improve OS in patients with HR+/HER2- EBC at high risk of recurrence BCSS, breast cancer-specific survival; DDFS, distant disease-free survival; DRFS, distant recurrence-free survival; EBC, early breast cancer; HR+/HER2-, hormone receptor positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 negative; iDFS, invasive disease-free survival; NSAI, nonsteroidal aromatase inhibitor; OS, overall survival; RIB, ribociclib. Dennis J. Slamon, MD, PhD Content of this presentation is copyright and responsibility of the author. Permission is required for re-use. [ESMO Congress Madrid 2026 logo]
Paolo Tarantino
Paolo Tarantino @PTarantinoMD · #ESMO26 · Oct 23, 2026
Discussant Fumikata Hara: who benefits? Selected 6-year OS subgroups and markers
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[Image 1] NATALEE: ADJUVANT RIBOCICLIB WHO BENEFITS? CLINICAL AND GENOMIC RISK: NO VALIDATED PREDICTIVE MARKER NATALEE: selected 6-year OS subgroups All patients (100%) 0.81 (0.66–0.99) N0 (~12%) 0.79 (0.41–1.53) N1–3 (~88%) 0.82 (0.66–1.01) Stage II (~40%) 0.83 (0.54–1.27) Stage III (~60%) 0.80 (0.64–1.00) Ki-67 >20% (~36%*) 0.81 (0.60–1.10) [Forest plot axis: 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.5] CLINICAL AND GENOMIC MARKERS OS HR (95% CI) - N0: 0.79 (0.41–1.53) - Stage II: 0.83 (0.54–1.27) GENOMIC SIGNATURES - NATALEE PAM50 (ASCO 2026): benefit across subtypes - Treatment interaction: P = 0.34 (not significant) - monarchE: exploratory 21-gene analyses ctDNA: DYNAMIC MRD RISK - monarchE ctDNA strongly prognostic; - not validated to select, omit or stop CDK4/6i. No validated marker yet selects the relative CDK4/6i benefit Risk can be estimated; no validated marker yet selects the relative CDK4/6i benefit LBA25 OS subgroups (exploratory, low event counts). NATALEE gene-expression: Chia et al. ASCO 2026 abstract 501, n=3,022, PAM50 P-int=.34. monarchE ctDNA: ASCO 2024 LBA507. *Ki-67 high =36% of all randomized; results available only in biomarker-evaluable subset. Fumikata Hara Content of this presentation is copyright and responsibility of the author. Permission is required for re-use. [ESMO Congress Madrid 2026 logo]
Sara Tolaney
Sara Tolaney @stolaney1 · #ESMO26 · Oct 23, 2026
Discussant Fumikata Hara: three trials, three clinical decisions
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[Image 1] CONCLUSIONS THREE TRIALS — THREE CLINICAL DECISIONS TRIAL | KEY EVIDENCE | CLINICAL IMPLICATION B-42 At year 5 | Reduced recurrence with extended letrozole; no OS benefit detected | At year 5, individualize AI extension by late-recurrence risk and tolerability—not a routine 10 years. NATALEE At diagnosis | Sustained iDFS benefit; clinically meaningful, although descriptive, OS signal | Offer 3-year ribociclib selectively; weigh absolute risk against toxicity. PANKU-Breast01 At relapse | Large PFS gain vs chemotherapy; substantial hematologic toxicity | Do not assume efficacy after prior TOP1 ADCs; sequencing and marrow toxicity remain key. The right treatment, for the right patient, for the right duration — and in the right sequence [footer illegible] [ESMO Congress Madrid 2026 logo]
Matteo Lambertini, MD PhD
Matteo Lambertini, MD PhD @matteolambe · #ESMO26 · Oct 23, 2026
Dennis J. Slamon, LBA25: DDFS and DRFS
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Distant disease–free survival and distant recurrence–free survival (median follow-up 66.3 months)
EndpointArm (n=2549 / 2552)Events60 mo72 mo
DDFSRibociclib + NSAI34486.5%84.5%
DDFSNSAI alone42382.8%79.6%
DRFSRibociclib + NSAI30588.2%86.0%
DRFSNSAI alone37884.7%81.6%
DDFS: difference 3.7% at 60 mo and 4.9% at 72 mo; HR 0.744 (95% CI 0.646–0.858); nominal P<.001, one-sided. DRFS: difference 3.5% and 4.4%; HR 0.738 (95% CI 0.634–0.858); nominal P<.0001, one-sided.
[Image 1] Survival-curve slide: the printed values are in the numbers table above.
Timothée Olivier, MD
Timothée Olivier, MD @Timothee_MD · #ESMO26 · Oct 23, 2026
Dennis J. Slamon, LBA25: post-progression CDK4/6 inhibitor use by arm
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[Image 1] 13:30 - 15:00 Proffered paper 1: Breast cancer, early and advanced stage CHAIRS: KOMAL JHAVERI, BARBARA PISTILLI Greater postprogression CDK4/6 inhibitor use in NSAI-alone arm Post–distant recurrence therapy | RIB + NSAI (n = 219) | NSAI alone (n = 320) Received first-line anticancer therapy, n (%) | 192 (87.7) | 285 (89.1) ET only, n (%) | 61 (27.9) | 66 (20.6) ET plus targeted therapy, n (%)a | 57 (26.0) | 144 (45.0) Targeted therapy type CDK4/6 inhibitorb | 46 (21.0) | 142 (44.4) Abemaciclib | 23 (10.5) | 40 (12.5) Palbociclib | 14 (6.4) | 37 (11.6) Ribociclib | 8 (3.7) | 65 (20.3) AKT inhibitor | 5 (2.3) | 0 Checkpoint inhibitor | 2 (0.9) | 0 PI3K inhibitor | 5 (2.3) | 1 (0.3) Otherc | 5 (2.3) | 2 (0.6) Chemotherapy only, n (%) | 48 (21.9) | 46 (14.4) Other, n (%) | 26 (11.9) | 29 (9.1) CDK, cyclin-dependent kinase; ET, endocrine therapy; NSAI, nonsteroidal aromatase inhibitor; PI3K, phosphatidylinositol 3-kinase; RIB, ribociclib. a In the ET plus targeted therapy category, patients may receive more than 1 targeted therapy, so the individual counts may exceed the number of patients in the overall category. b One patient in the RIB + NSAI arm received ET plus dalpiciclib. c In the NSAI-alone arm, 1 patient received the CDK4 inhibitor atirmociclib plus ET, and 1 patient received the CDK2 inhibitor tegtociclib plus ET. Dennis J. Slamon, MD, PhD Content of this presentation is copyright and responsibility of the author. Permission is required for re-use. [ESMO Congress Madrid 2026 logo] [Speaker panel] Dennis Slamon — Adjuvant ribociclib (RIB) + nonsteroidal aromatase inhibitor (NSAI) in patients (pts) with HR+/HER2− early breast cancer (EBC): NATALEE 6-y overall survival (OS) and efficacy outcomes ALICANTE AUDITORIUM - HALL 6
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More slides from ESMO 2026 (Madrid) as photographed and shared on X by physicians, newest first. Each post is shown verbatim; click any slide to enlarge, and open the OCR text under each post. All ESMO 2026 NATALEE slides in the KOL Pulse slide library →

Aydah AlAwadhi, MD 🇦🇪 (@Aydah_AlAwadhi)
Aydah AlAwadhi, MD 🇦🇪 @Aydah_AlAwadhi
NATALEE · ESMO 2026 slides
Oct 23, 2026 · ESMO 2026
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🚨 ESMO 2026 | NATALEE: Positive OS at 6 yrs! 🔹 OS: HR 0.809 (95% CI 0.661–0.989), P=0.019 🔹 6-yr OS: 91.9% vs 89.7% (Δ 2.1%) 🔹 BCSS: HR 0.706 (~29% ↓ BC mortality) 🔹 iDFS/DDFS/DRFS: ~5% absolute benefit at 6 yrs 🔹 OS benefit generally consistent across subgroups 🔹 Post-recurrence CDK4/6i: 21% vs 44.4% Take-home: First positive OS results from NATALEE, supporting adjuvant RIB in HR+/HER2− EBC. #ESMO26 #NATALEE #BreastCancer #bcsm @OncoAlert
NATALEE: open-label, multicenter, randomized, phase 3 trial Adult patients with stage II or III HR+/HER2− EBC • Prior ET allowed up to 12 months • Anatomical stage IIA(a) • N1 • N0 with: • Grade 2 and evidence of high risk: • Ki-67 ≥20% • Oncotype DX Breast Recurrence [partially obscured] • High risk via genomic risk profil[ing — partially obscured] • Grade 3 • Anatomical stage IIB(a) • N0 or N1 • Anatomical stage III • N0, N1, N2, or N3 N = 5101 Rationale for broad population of patients: Patients with stage II or III HR+/HER2− EBC, including those with no nodal involvement, are at risk of disease recurrence up to decades after initial diagnosis(1,5) RIB 400 mg/day 3 weeks on/1 week off for 3 y + NSAI Letrozole or anastrozole(b) for ≥5 y ± goserelin in men and premenopausal women NSAI Letrozole or anastrozole(b) for ≥5 y ± goserelin in men and premenopausal women Rationale for 400 mg RIB: To improve tolerability while maintaining efficacy(1) Rationale for 3-year treatment duration: Extended duration of treatment is crucial to prolong cell cycle arrest and drive more tumor cells into irreversible senescence(1-4) [Partially obscured endpoints box] ... OS, DDFS, RFS Efficacy outcomes for the 6-year analysis were estimated by the Kapl[an-Meier method — partially obscured]. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to estimate the HRs and 95% CIs. Timeline: Primary analysis 27.7 mo ✓ | Final iDFS 33.3 mo ✓ | 4-year exploratory 44.2 mo ✓ | 5-year prespecified 55.4 mo ✓ | 6-year prespecified 66.3 mo — Current readout — and beyond (Median iDFS follow-up) BCSS, breast cancer–specific survival; ctDNA/RNA, circulating tumor DNA/RNA; DDFS, distant disease–free survival; DRFS, distant recurrence–free survival; EBC, early breast cancer; ET, endocrine therapy; HR+/HER2−, hormone receptor positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 negative; HR, hazard ratio; iDFS, invasive disease–free survival; N, node; NSAI, nonsteroidal aromatase inhibitor; OS, overall survival; PK, pharmacokinetics; PRO, patient-reported outcome; RIB, ribociclib; RFS, recurrence-free survival; STEEP, Standardized Definitions for Efficacy End Points. (a)Enrollment of patients with stage II disease was capped at 40%. (b)Per investigator choice. 1. Slamon D et al. Ther Adv Med Oncol. 2023;15:1-16. 2. Kovatcheva M et al. Oncotarget. 2015;6:8226-8243. 3. Rader J et al. Clin Cancer Res. 2013;19:6173-6182. 4. Klein ME et al. Cancer Cell. 2018;34:9-20. 5. Pan H et al. N Engl J Med. 2017;377(19):1836-1846. Dennis J. Slamon, MD, PhD
Yakup Ergün (@dr_yakupergun)
Yakup Ergün @dr_yakupergun
NATALEE · ESMO 2026 slides
Oct 23, 2026 · ESMO 2026
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Looks like the discussant is on my side too, Amol! 😉 We acknowledge the limitations of the nominal p-value, but I think it would be unfair to judge ribociclib’s clinical benefit solely on that basis. https://t.co/gQtuwasEEp https://t.co/absCmwDmqD
[Slide 1] NATALEE: ADJUVANT RIBOCICLIB NATALEE: A CONSISTENT OS SIGNAL AT 6 YEARS [KM curve: Overall survival (%) vs Time since randomization (Months)] Labels: 93.9% (Δ=1.2%) / 92.7% at 60 months; 91.9% (Δ=2.1%^a) / 89.7% at 72 months Median follow-up: 66.5 months | | RIB + NSAI (n = 2549) | NSAI alone (n = 2552) | No. of OS events | 178 | 205 HR (95% CI) | 0.809 (0.661-0.989) Nominal P value (1-sided)^b | 0.019 No. of patients at risk (0,6,12,...,84+ months): RIB + NSAI: 2549, 2404, 2336, 2299, 2258, 2219, 2184, 2132, 2086, 2047, 1982, 1521, 761, 85, 2, 0 NSAI alone: 2552, 2301, 2254, 2208, 2159, 2117, 2064, 2012, 1981, 1936, 1866, 1426, 730, 81, 3, 0 6-YEAR OVERALL SURVIVAL 91.9% vs 89.7% Δ +2.1% | HR 0.809 (0.661-0.989) BREAST CANCER-SPECIFIC SURVIVAL HR 0.706 (0.559-0.890) 126 vs 166 deaths: 40 fewer breast-cancer deaths Nominal 1-sided P=0.019 - descriptive analysis NOT multiplicity-controlled confirmatory testing Non-breast-cancer deaths: 52 vs 39; specific causes not detailed. Six-year OS and BCSS support ribociclib; the OS inference remains descriptive NATALEE LBA25, ESMO 2026: 6-y OS HR 0.809 (0.661-0.989), BCSS HR 0.706 (0.559-0.890). Nominal 1-sided P=.019. Survival table Endpoint: Overall survival (NATALEE, 6-year) RIB + NSAI | 2549 NSAI alone | 2552 HR: 0.809 HR CI: 0.661-0.989 P: Nominal 1-sided P=0.019 (descriptive) Landmark rates: 60 months: RIB + NSAI 93.9% | NSAI alone 92.7% 72 months (6-year): RIB + NSAI 91.9% | NSAI alone 89.7% [Slide 2] NATALEE: ADJUVANT RIBOCICLIB NATALEE: WHY DOES THE iDFS GAP WIDEN AFTER RIBOCICLIB? [KM curve: Invasive disease-free survival (%) vs Time since randomization (Months)] Labels: 85.3% (Δ=4.1%) / 81.2% at 60 months; 83.2% (Δ=5.3%) / 77.9% at 72 months Median follow-up: 66.3 months | | RIB + NSAI (n = 2549) | NSAI alone (n = 2552) | No. of iDFS events | 374 | 461 HR (95% CI) | 0.741 (0.646-0.849) Nominal P value (1-sided) | <.0001 No. of patients at risk: RIB + NSAI: 2549, 2352, 2277, 2212, 2141, 2086, 2029, 1971, 1916, 1853, 1753, 1300, 629, 64, 0, 0 NSAI alone: 2552, 2240, 2168, 2082, 2009, 1941, 1875, 1805, 1745, 1675, 1590, 1173, 566, 48, 1, 0 iDFS ABSOLUTE DIFFERENCE 5-year Δ 4.1% -> 6-year Δ 5.3% Median time since stopping ribociclib: 38 months All patients had discontinued ribociclib WHY DOES THE GAP WIDEN AFTER TREATMENT? - Eradication? (loss of residual clones) - Prolonged suppression? (senescence / immune effects?) - Delayed clinical recurrence? (later catch-up?) The widening iDFS gap raises biological hypotheses, not proof of a mechanism NATALEE LBA25: both 5-/6-year values from same 2026 cutoff. Here Δ in % denotes an absolute percentage-point difference; mechanisms are speculative. Survival table Endpoint: Invasive disease-free survival (NATALEE) RIB + NSAI | 2549 NSAI alone | 2552 HR: 0.741 HR CI: 0.646-0.849 P: Nominal 1-sided <.0001 Landmark rates: 60 months (5-year): RIB + NSAI 85.3% | NSAI alone 81.2% 72 months (6-year): RIB + NSAI 83.2% | NSAI alone 77.9%
Elene Mariamidze (@EMariamidze)
Elene Mariamidze @EMariamidze
NATALEE · ESMO 2026 slides
Oct 23, 2026 · ESMO 2026
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Are we in the era of hormone therapy and Targeted escalation of the treatment for HR+positive early and advanced BC ? #ESMOAmbassadors #ESMO26 @myESMO https://t.co/EJxtJHEEb3
Disease-Free Survival [KM plot: Disease-Free Survival 0.0-1.0 vs Years from randomization 0-15+; dashed lines near 10 and 15 years] Letrozole 74.9% vs Placebo 72.1% (Δ = 2.8%) at 10-yr line Letrozole 61.6% vs Placebo 56.5% (Δ = 5.1%) at 15-yr line # Events Analysis | P | L | HR (95% CI) | P-value 10-yr | 505 | 435 | 0.85 (0.74-0.96) | 0.01 15-yr | 787 | 691 | 0.85 (0.76-0.94) | 0.002 Patients excluded: • 38 (no follow-up, or not at risk for DFS) • 22 (no clinical follow-up assessment) At risk (0, 5, 10, 15 years) Placebo 1954 1559 1125 651 Letrozole 1952 1601 1171 698 [NRG Oncology logo] Eleftherios P. Mamounas Survival table Endpoint: Disease-free survival (10-yr and 15-yr analyses) Placebo (P) | 1954 Letrozole (L) | 1952 HR: 10-yr: 0.85; 15-yr: 0.85 HR CI: 10-yr: 0.74-0.96; 15-yr: 0.76-0.94 P: 10-yr: 0.01; 15-yr: 0.002 Landmark rates: 10 years: Letrozole 74.9% | Placebo 72.1% 15 years: Letrozole 61.6% | Placebo 56.5%
Dr Amol Akhade (@SuyogCancer)
Dr Amol Akhade @SuyogCancer
NATALEE · ESMO 2026 slides
Oct 23, 2026 · ESMO 2026
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@dr_yakupergun can u suggest me a good magnifying glass ? Asking for a friend 😀 @myESMO #esmo26 As expected, no one talks about nominal p value. https://t.co/aGWpPg4U4M
13:30 - 15:00 Proffered paper 1: Breast cancer, early and advanced stage CHAIRS: KOMAL JHAVERI, BARBARA PISTILLI Positive OS results at this prespecified 6-year analysis [KM plot: Overall survival (%) vs Time since randomization (Months) 0-84; dashed lines at 60 and 72 months] RIB + NSAI: 93.9% (Δ=1.2%) at 60 mo line; 91.9% (Δ=2.1%a) at 72 mo line NSAI alone: 92.7% at 60 mo line; 89.7% at 72 mo line Median follow-up: 66.5 months RIB + NSAI (n = 2549) | NSAI alone (n = 2552) No. of OS events 178 | 205 HR (95% CI) 0.809 (0.661-0.989) Nominal P value (1-sided)b 0.019 No. of patients at risk RIB + NSAI 2549 2404 2336 2299 2258 2219 2184 2132 2086 2047 1982 1521 761 85 2 0 NSAI alone 2552 2301 2254 2208 2159 2117 2064 2012 1981 1936 1866 1426 730 81 3 0 HR, hazard ratio; NSAI, nonsteroidal aromatase inhibitor; RIB, ribociclib. a The difference between percentages does not equal 2.2 due to rounding. b Comparison of survival between treatment arms was generated by stratified log-rank test (1-sided P value, descriptive). Dennis J. Slamon, MD, PhD [Speaker card] Dennis Slamon — Adjuvant ribociclib (RIB) + nonsteroidal aromatase inhibitor (NSAI) in patients (pts) with HR+/HER2- early breast cancer (EBC): NATALEE 6-y overall survival (OS) and efficacy outcomes ALICANTE AUDITORIUM - HALL 6 Survival table Endpoint: Overall survival (NATALEE 6-year prespecified analysis) RIB + NSAI | 2549 NSAI alone | 2552 HR: 0.809 HR CI: 0.661-0.989 P: 0.019 (nominal, 1-sided, descriptive) Landmark rates: 60 months (5-yr): RIB + NSAI 93.9% | NSAI alone 92.7% 72 months (6-yr): RIB + NSAI 91.9% | NSAI alone 89.7%

More slides on this page

Earlier slides

Slides shared by KOLs across ASCO 2026 (Chia PAM50 biomarker analysis, Abs 501) and prior meetings. Click any image to expand.

Icro Meattini
Icro Meattini @Icro_Meattini
NATALEE Slides ASCO 2026
267 impressions · May 31, 2026
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Gaia Griguolo
Gaia Griguolo @GaiaGriguolo
NATALEE Slides ASCO 2026
99 impressions · May 30, 2026
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Susan G. Komen
Susan G. Komen @SusanGKomen
NATALEE Slides ASCO 2026
207 impressions · May 30, 2026
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tatsunori_shimoi 下井辰徳
NATALEE Slides ASCO 2026
559 impressions · May 30, 2026
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Aya Mohamed | MSc, MD 🎗
Aya Mohamed | MSc, MD 🎗 @dr_oncologista
NATALEE Slides ASCO 2026
274 impressions · May 30, 2026
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Hope Rugo
Hope Rugo @hoperugo
NATALEE Slides ASCO 2026
822 impressions · May 30, 2026
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Erika Hamilton, MD, FASCO
Erika Hamilton, MD, FASCO @ErikaHamilton9
NATALEE Slides ASCO 2026
939 impressions · May 30, 2026
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Elisabetta Bonzano MD, PhD
Elisabetta Bonzano MD, PhD @to_be_elizabeth
NATALEE Slides ASCO 2026
899 impressions · May 30, 2026
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Elisa Agostinetto
Elisa Agostinetto @ElisaAgostinett
NATALEE Slides ASCO 2026
1.9K impressions · May 30, 2026
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Paolo Tarantino
Paolo Tarantino @PTarantinoMD
NATALEE Slides ASCO 2026
2.1K impressions · May 30, 2026
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Dr Rishabh Jain
Dr Rishabh Jain @drrishabhonco
NATALEE Slides ASCO 2026
424 impressions · May 26, 2026
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Yakup Ergün
Yakup Ergün @dr_yakupergun
NATALEE Slides
57.6K impressions · Mar 20, 2024
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NEJM
NEJM @NEJM
NATALEE Slides
34.3K impressions · Mar 20, 2024
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Sara Tolaney
Sara Tolaney @stolaney1
NATALEE Slides
29.0K impressions · Dec 08, 2023
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NATALEE Trial Design

NATALEE is a global Phase III, multicenter, randomized, open-label trial that established adjuvant ribociclib (Kisqali) at 400 mg as the first CDK4/6 inhibitor approved for the broadest population of patients with HR+/HER2-negative stage II and III early breast cancer at high risk of recurrence. The trial randomized 5,101 patients across 20 countries to receive ribociclib plus a nonsteroidal aromatase inhibitor (letrozole or anastrozole) for 3 years with endocrine therapy for at least 5 years, or endocrine therapy alone. NATALEE uniquely included node-negative patients and used a lower 400 mg dose (versus the 600 mg metastatic dose) to optimize tolerability over the 3-year treatment duration.

Study Design

Phase III, global, multicenter, randomized (1:1), open-label trial conducted at 393 centers across 20 countries in collaboration with TRIO. Stratified by menopausal status, AJCC 8th edition anatomic stage (II vs. III), prior neoadjuvant/adjuvant chemotherapy (yes vs. no), and geographic region.

Population

Adults (men and pre- or postmenopausal women) with HR+/HER2-negative stage II or III early breast cancer at high risk of recurrence. Stage IIA T2N0 patients required grade 2 tumor with Ki-67 >=20% or high genomic risk (Oncotype DX Recurrence Score >=26, or high-risk by Prosigna/PAM50, MammaPrint, or EndoPredict), or grade 3 tumor. Node-positive disease of any stage II/III was eligible regardless of additional risk factors. Stage II comprised 40.3% and stage III comprised 59.4% of the study population.

Interventions

Ribociclib 400 mg once daily (3 weeks on / 1 week off in 28-day cycles) for up to 36 months plus NSAI (letrozole or anastrozole) for at least 5 years, with goserelin for men and premenopausal women. Control arm received NSAI alone for at least 5 years.

Primary Endpoints

Primary endpoint: invasive disease-free survival (iDFS) per STEEP criteria. Secondary endpoints: recurrence-free survival (RFS), distant disease-free survival (DDFS), overall survival (OS), patient-reported outcomes (PROs), safety/tolerability, and pharmacokinetics. Exploratory endpoints included locoregional recurrence-free survival and time to subsequent antineoplastic therapy.

FDA Approval

FDA APPROVED Kisqali (ribociclib) — Adjuvant treatment of adults with HR+/HER2-negative stage II and III early breast cancer at high risk of recurrence, in combination with an aromatase inhibitor

On September 17, 2024, the FDA approved ribociclib (Kisqali) in combination with an aromatase inhibitor for the adjuvant treatment of HR+/HER2-negative stage II and III early breast cancer at high risk of recurrence. The approval was based on the NATALEE trial demonstrating a 25% reduction in risk of invasive disease recurrence. A ribociclib + letrozole co-pack (Kisqali Femara Co-Pack) was also approved. The sNDA used a priority review voucher.

Source: FDA Press Release
Earlier: ASCO 2026 PAM50 analysis and earlier physician posts (May 2026 and before)
ASCO 2026 · May 30 PAM50 Biomarker Analysis · Abstract 501

NATALEE — Baseline Gene Expression & Adjuvant Ribociclib Benefit

Presented by Stephen K.L. Chia, MD (May 30, 2026 · Chicago) — PAM50 intrinsic subtype + gene-expression sub-analysis of 3,022 patients from the NATALEE adjuvant ribociclib + NSAI trial in HR+/HER2− early breast cancer.

Luminal A iDFS
HR 0.77
66% of PAM50 cohort
Luminal B iDFS
HR 0.71
28% of PAM50 cohort
Conclusion
Benefit across ALL PAM50 subtypes
PAM50 prognostic, not predictive

Gene-expression signal (exploratory): higher genomic risk and proliferation scores trended toward larger ribociclib benefit; higher CEACAM6 and lower GATA3 / CDK4 expression were associated with greater iDFS gain. None reached statistical significance for treatment interaction.

KOL takeaway — Paolo Tarantino, MD: "Interesting PAM50 sub-analysis from NATALEE, presented by Stephen Chia, showing a clear prognostic, but not predictive, role for PAM50 subtypes. Benefit from adjuvant ribociclib observed across subtypes and risk scores, with larger delta in HER2-E and basal-like tumors." [source →]

Live ASCO 2026 coverage →  ·  Source: ASCO 2026 Abstract 501 (Chia et al., n=3,022 PAM50)

Earlier physician posts on NATALEE

Posts from the ASCO 2026 period and earlier (previously listed as this page’s Top 12 by impressions), shown in full and verbatim, newest first.

Icro Meattini ASCO 2026@Icro_Meattini

Prognostic and predictive impact of baseline gene expression in the NATALEE trial of adjuvant ribociclib + nonsteroidal aromatase inhibitor in HR+/HER2− early #BreastCancer Stephen K.L. Chia #ASCO26 @OncoAlert #OncoAlert https://t.co/irIGGXNUGx

👁 267♡ 6↺ 5May 31, 2026
Mitsuo Terada, MD, PhD@乳腺科医 ASCO 2026@MamMa_mimumemo

NATALEE試験において、結局、アジュバントでのRibociclibはPAM50によるサブタイプに関わらず上乗せ効果あり。 誰にでも同じぐらい効いていたとも言えるけど、いまいちいいバイオマーカーが出てこないからやらなくていい集団がいまいち見つからないCDK4/6阻害薬… #ASCO26 https://t.co/SNsmeOcYl9

👁 2.2K♡ 10↺ 2May 30, 2026
Kazuki Nozawa, MD ASCO 2026@kazuki_nozawa

NATALEE Biomarker Analysis #ASCO26 Ribociclib + NSAI demonstrated consistent iDFS benefit across all PAM50 intrinsic subtypes in HR+/HER2− early breast cancer — regardless of luminal A, luminal B, HER2-enriched, or basal-like classification (interaction P=.34). iDFS HR: 0.71

👁 1.4K♡ 5↺ 2May 30, 2026
Erika Hamilton, MD, FASCO ASCO 2026@ErikaHamilton9

Benefit of #ribociclib in #NATALEE: - persists across intrinsic subtypes - is greater in pts with higher risk tumors - may be variable based on certain gene expression ( ⬆️ benefit CEACAM6, ⬇️ CDK4, GATA3 etc) #ASCO26 #bcsm https://t.co/7BlAYcA46M

👁 939♡ 15↺ 11May 30, 2026
tatsunori_shimoi 下井辰徳 ASCO 2026@shimoi_oncology

リボシクリプの術後内分泌療法への追加を見たNATALEE試験のバイオマーカー別サブ解析 内因性サブタイプがluminalより他のタイプの方が差が大きく見えたり、アグレッシブな遺伝子変化のほうが大きな利益は興味深い アベマシクリブも似た話になりそう #ASCO26 https://t.co/CJo6VbLIF6

👁 559♡ 13↺ 2May 30, 2026
Aya Mohamed | MSc, MD 🎗 ASCO 2026@dr_oncologista

NATALEE Trial: Consistent iDFS Benefit with Ribociclib Across All PAM50 Intrinsic Subtypes in HR+/HER2− Early #BreastCancer @OncoAlert @ASCO #ASCO26 #bcsm https://t.co/Xa11SvqEDs

�� 274♡ 11↺ 4May 30, 2026
Susan G. Komen ASCO 2026@SusanGKomen

New biomarker insights from NATALEE trial presented by Stephen Chia, MD 📊 Baseline gene expression shows prognostic &amp; predictive impact in HR+/HER2- early #breastcancer treated with adjuvant ribociclib + aromatase inhibitor #ASCO26 @ASCO https://t.co/iCG3ubX768

👁 207♡ 3↺ 2May 30, 2026
Gaia Griguolo ASCO 2026@GaiaGriguolo

NATALEE gene-expression analysis presented #asco26 Ribociclib benefit seen across all PAM50 intrinsic subtypes Trend toward greater benefit for higher genomic risk or proliferation signatures Expression of several gene associated with increased ribociclib benefit @OncoAlert h

👁 99♡ 4↺ 5May 30, 2026
Dr Rishabh Jain ASCO 2026@drrishabhonco

#ASCO26 🧬 Not all HR+/HER2- early breast cancers behave the same. New biomarker analysis from NATALEE suggests adjuvant ribociclib benefits were seen across ALL PAM50 subtypes, with a possible trend toward greater benefit in genomically higher-risk disease. 📌 3022 tumor https:/

👁 3.2K♡ 29↺ 6May 26, 2026
Dra. María Natalia Gandur Quiroga ASCO 2026@nataliagandur

💫🌟🚨 Top 10 #BreastCancer abstracts for #ASCO26 — selected by our leads and finalized via a Delphi voting process 🗳️🔬 1️⃣ 500 — OPTIMA 2️⃣ LBA1006 — PERSEVERA BC 3️⃣ 507 — KEYNOTE-522 final analysis 4️⃣ LBA1007 — SERENA-6 5️⃣ 502 — LIDERA BC 6️⃣ LBA1000 — ASCENT-04 7️⃣ 501 — NATA

👁 2.8K♡ 23↺ 14May 25, 2026
Vinay Prasad MD MPH@VPrasadMDMPH

If you can fit a laser pointer between the curves, you can give the #ASCO24 plenary! https://t.co/TrmXCzrp3J

👁 53.9K♡ 115↺ 5Mar 20, 2024

NATALEE FAQ

What is the NATALEE trial?

NATALEE (NCT03701334) is a Phase 3 trial of 3 years of adjuvant ribociclib (Kisqali) 400 mg plus a nonsteroidal aromatase inhibitor versus endocrine therapy alone in 5,101 adults with HR-positive/HER2-negative stage II–III early breast cancer, including higher-risk node-negative disease. See Trial Design.

Is adjuvant Kisqali (ribociclib) FDA approved?

Yes. On September 17, 2024 the FDA approved Kisqali (ribociclib) with an aromatase inhibitor for the adjuvant treatment of adults with HR-positive, HER2-negative stage II and III early breast cancer at high risk of recurrence; a ribociclib + letrozole co-pack was also approved. See At a Glance.

What were the NATALEE efficacy results?

Ribociclib plus endocrine therapy significantly improved invasive disease-free survival (HR 0.749 at the final iDFS analysis), with the benefit sustained at later landmarks. The 6-year analysis (ESMO 2026 LBA25 abstract) also reports overall survival, with a nominal P-value. All figures, sources and data cuts: At a Glance.

How is NATALEE different from monarchE?

NATALEE enrolled a broader population, including some higher-risk node-negative patients, and used ribociclib 400 mg for 3 years; monarchE (abemaciclib) was limited to node-positive high-risk disease. See Trial Design.

Who makes ribociclib?

Ribociclib (Kisqali) is a CDK4/6 inhibitor developed by Novartis.

NATALEE in the News

Key KOL Sentiments - NATALEE

Want the aggregated read across all of this drug's trials? See Physician sentiment on KISQALI® (ribociclib) — KOL Pulse's breakdown of oncologist opinion on ribociclib, the CDK4/6 inhibitor studied in NATALEE.

DoctorDateSentimentComment
Yakup Ergün
Yakup Ergün
@dr_yakupergun
Oct 23, 2026 ● POSITIVE Today at #ESMO26, the 6-year results of NATALEE will be presented. Ahead of the presentation, my personal view on the survival gains with adjuvant CDK4/6 inhibitors… The 6-year OS rates in NATALEE were 91.86% vs 89.73%: an absolute gain of 2.1 percentage points (HR 0.809; 95% CI 0.661–0.989; nominal one-sided p=0.019). The absolute 7-year OS gain in monarchE was 1.8 percentage points (HR 0.842; p=0.027). I do not think these gains should be dismissed as “only 2%.” In the EBCTCG analysis, adding taxanes to anthracycline-based chemotherapy—an approach we have accepted as standard for years—provided an absolute 5-year OS gain of approximately 1.9 percentage points. The populations and follow-up periods differ, so we cannot directly compare treatment efficacy. However, the standards we use to judge a few percentage points of survival benefit should be consistent. Moreover, 95.4% of patients in monarchE had already received chemotherapy. This survival gain represents an additional benefit on top of chemotherapy and endocrine therapy. Patient selection, toxicity, treatment duration, and cost certainly deserve discussion. However, the survival benefit of adjuvant CDK4/6 inhibitors in appropriately selected patients should not be underestimated.
Timothée Olivier, MD
Timothée Olivier, MD
@Timothee_MD
Oct 23, 2026 ● NEUTRAL #ESMO26 NATALEE 6-y OS results are online, ahead of today's presentation (2:25 pm). OS HR 0.809 (95% CI 0.661–0.989); 6-y OS: 91.9% vs 89.7% (Δ2.1%). Nominal 1-sided P=.019. What remains key? 👉 Post-protocol care! See why in my talk at @MDAnderson_ES 👇 https://t.co/ilGjsTQl3s
Carlos Gonzalez
Carlos Gonzalez
@DrMedOnco
Oct 23, 2026 ● NEUTRAL NATALEE OS: no formal significance; the analysis is descriptive (nominal P, no alpha). monarchE, by contrast, had a prespecified alpha-controlled OS analysis and met it. NATALEE: HR ~0.80 stable, Δ2.1%, BCSS supportive. Clinically meaningful, not confirmatory. #ESMO26 #NATALEE #MonarchE
MV Chandrakanth
MV Chandrakanth
@ChandrakanthMv
Oct 23, 2026 ● POSITIVE NATALEE | ESMO 2026 3 Years of Ribociclib. Is the Survival Benefit Finally Emerging? 🔹 6-year OS: 91.86% vs 89.73% HR 0.809 | Nominal P = 0.019 Absolute gain: +2.1% 🔹 6-year iDFS: 83.23% vs 77.92% HR 0.741 | Absolute gain: +5.3% 🔹 iDFS benefit increased from +4.1% at 5 years to +5.3% at 6 years, despite a median 38 months off ribociclib. TAKE-HOME: Sustained iDFS benefit with an encouraging OS signal. Formal OS statistical significance requires confirmation. Ref: Slamon DJ, Hortobagyi GN, et al. NATALEE 6-year OS and efficacy outcomes. ESMO 2026. #MVOnco #ESMO2026 #NATALEE #BreastCancer
Oct 23, 2026 ● NEGATIVE Not ready to call NATALEE an OS win. The p=.019 is one sided and nominal, on the 5th look at survival. More than twice as many control pts dropped out right after randomization, and post-relapse CDK4/6i use in the control arm hasn't been reported . https://t.co/ZfOdph2e93
Dr Amol Akhade
Dr Amol Akhade
@SuyogCancer
Oct 22, 2026 ● NEUTRAL NATALEE at 6 years: Ribociclib + NSAI vs NSAI alone in HR+/HER2− early breast cancer: • 6-year OS: 91.86% vs 89.73% • OS HR 0.809 (95% CI 0.661–0.989); nominal 1-sided P=0.019 • Absolute OS benefit: 2.1% • 6-year iDFS: 83.23% vs 77.92% • iDFS HR 0.741 (95% CI 0.646–0.849) • Absolute iDFS benefit: 5.3% Is OS significant? Looking forward to full data .@Timothee_MD @myESMO @OncBrothers @OncoAlert #ESMO26 #BreastCancer #NATALEE
Mustafa Özdoğan, MD
Mustafa Özdoğan, MD
@ozdogan_md
Oct 22, 2026 ● NEUTRAL Six years into NATALEE, the key question is no longer whether adjuvant ribociclib improves iDFS. Does the benefit remain durable-and is an OS signal emerging? LBA25 at #ESMO26, led by Dennis J. Slamon, with investigators @KalinskyKevin @LoiSher. What would change your practice most: absolute iDFS gain, OS maturity, or long-term treatment burden? #bcsm
Icro Meattini
@Icro_Meattini
May 31, 2026 ● NEUTRAL Prognostic and predictive impact of baseline gene expression in the NATALEE trial of adjuvant ribociclib + nonsteroidal aromatase inhibitor in HR+/HER2− early #BreastCancer Stephen K.L. Chia #ASCO26 @OncoAlert #OncoAlert https://t.co/irIGGXNUGx
Gaia Griguolo
@GaiaGriguolo
May 30, 2026 ● NEUTRAL NATALEE gene-expression analysis presented #asco26 Ribociclib benefit seen across all PAM50 intrinsic subtypes Trend toward greater benefit for higher genomic risk or proliferation signatures Expression of several gene associated with increased ribociclib benefit @OncoAlert https://t.co/mD6HunXsdF
Susan G. Komen
@SusanGKomen
May 30, 2026 ● NEUTRAL New biomarker insights from NATALEE trial presented by Stephen Chia, MD 📊 Baseline gene expression shows prognostic &amp; predictive impact in HR+/HER2- early #breastcancer treated with adjuvant ribociclib + aromatase inhibitor #ASCO26 @ASCO https://t.co/iCG3ubX768
May 30, 2026 ● NEUTRAL リボシクリプの術後内分泌療法への追加を見たNATALEE試験のバイオマーカー別サブ解析 内因性サブタイプがluminalより他のタイプの方が差が大きく見えたり、アグレッシブな遺伝子変化のほうが大きな利益は興味深い アベマシクリブも似た話になりそう #ASCO26 https://t.co/CJo6VbLIF6
Aya Mohamed | MSc, MD 🎗
@dr_oncologista
May 30, 2026 ● NEUTRAL NATALEE Trial: Consistent iDFS Benefit with Ribociclib Across All PAM50 Intrinsic Subtypes in HR+/HER2− Early #BreastCancer @OncoAlert @ASCO #ASCO26 #bcsm https://t.co/Xa11SvqEDs
May 30, 2026 ● NEUTRAL NATALEE試験において、結局、アジュバントでのRibociclibはPAM50によるサブタイプに関わらず上乗せ効果あり。 誰にでも同じぐらい効いていたとも言えるけど、いまいちいいバイオマーカーが出てこないからやらなくていい集団がいまいち見つからないCDK4/6阻害薬… #ASCO26 https://t.co/SNsmeOcYl9
Erika Hamilton, MD, FASCO
@ErikaHamilton9
May 30, 2026 ● NEUTRAL Benefit of #ribociclib in #NATALEE: - persists across intrinsic subtypes - is greater in pts with higher risk tumors - may be variable based on certain gene expression ( ⬆️ benefit CEACAM6, ⬇️ CDK4, GATA3 etc) #ASCO26 #bcsm https://t.co/7BlAYcA46M
Kazuki Nozawa, MD
@kazuki_nozawa
May 30, 2026 ● NEUTRAL NATALEE Biomarker Analysis #ASCO26 Ribociclib + NSAI demonstrated consistent iDFS benefit across all PAM50 intrinsic subtypes in HR+/HER2− early breast cancer — regardless of luminal A, luminal B, HER2-enriched, or basal-like classification (interaction P=.34). iDFS HR: 0.71 https://t.co/JmH2S6nEJb
Dr Rishabh Jain
@drrishabhonco
May 26, 2026 ● NEUTRAL #ASCO26 🧬 Not all HR+/HER2- early breast cancers behave the same. New biomarker analysis from NATALEE suggests adjuvant ribociclib benefits were seen across ALL PAM50 subtypes, with a possible trend toward greater benefit in genomically higher-risk disease. 📌 3022 tumor https://t.co/xkes3EFLS6 https://t.co/cL8NHWlJqh
May 25, 2026 ● NEUTRAL 💫🌟🚨 Top 10 #BreastCancer abstracts for #ASCO26 — selected by our leads and finalized via a Delphi voting process 🗳️🔬 1️⃣ 500 — OPTIMA 2️⃣ LBA1006 — PERSEVERA BC 3️⃣ 507 — KEYNOTE-522 final analysis 4️⃣ LBA1007 — SERENA-6 5️⃣ 502 — LIDERA BC 6️⃣ LBA1000 — ASCENT-04 7️⃣ 501 — NATALEE https://t.co/3BPHgMO1ct
Dec 22, 2025 ● NEUTRAL Great summary. The NATALEE update is the real needle-mover here—seeing that 8.9% delta in Stage IIIB/C makes the Ribo + NSAI discussion much easier in the clinic. &gt; However, the ALTTO 10-year data is a great reminder that while DFS is improving, we still haven't moved the needle
Hope Rugo
@hoperugo
Oct 17, 2025 ● POSITIVE #ESMO25 beautiful discussion by @AngieDemichele covering monarchE and Natalie. Key points below. https://t.co/VI8aKVvQRu
Oct 17, 2025 ● NEUTRAL Important data from monarchE and NATALEE adjuvant CDK46 inhibitor @myESMO With @tess_omeara, here's our take on who needs, and who does not need, adjuvant abema/ribo, co-published in @Annals_Oncology https://t.co/ofrZzrsTqF
Nov 17, 2024 ● NEUTRAL Nancy Lin, MD (@nlinmd) discussed updates from the #NATALEE trial presented at #ESMO24 Congress. The study showed the efficacy of adjuvant #ribociclib plus nonsteroidal aromatase inhibitor in patients with HR-positive, HER2-negative early #BreastCancer. 👉https://t.co/yRfggMKde2 https://t.co/j2awkfoCU5
Tõnis Metsaots
@TMetsaots
Sep 18, 2024 ● NEUTRAL US prices are crazy. in EU CDK4/6 inhibitors cost a fraction of that. Don't know how extensively have you used ribo, but usually it's well tolerated, since most AE-s are asymptomatic. HR pos mBC median OS is 64m, so demanding OS benefit is hasty. III st 5.9% iDFS is not tiny
Hakan Önder
@onder_haka2124
Sep 18, 2024 ● NEGATIVE Is your paradigm really going to change with the censored patient numbers at 36 months in NATALEEA? The percentage of patients who continued on treatment at 36 months was 8%. What do you think about the other adjuvant study, MonarchE? Higher risk, less censoring
Jame Abraham, MD, FACP
@jamecancerdoc
Sep 18, 2024 ● NEUTRAL One more treatment option for #breastcancer patients with ER + her-2 negative, early stage breast cancer - https://t.co/YyF3ljvuVW https://t.co/UhN3b7aXUd
thomas tucker
@tommytuckermd
Sep 17, 2024 ● NEGATIVE Call me when there's an OS benefit
Oncology Brothers
@OncBrothers
Sep 17, 2024 ● NEUTRAL #Ribociclib now @US_FDA ✅ for adj early stage HR+ breast cancer. Recent #ESMO24 #NATALEE: Stg IIA - III, 400mg (3wks on/1wk off) for 3yrs - Improved iDFS w/Ribo at 4yrs (HR: 0.715) - Improvement seen in all subgroups including N0. OS immature #bcsm #OncTwitter @OncoAlert https://t.co/bpqQm15nBn https://t.co/4i4vunXvOv
Eleonora Teplinsky, MD
@drteplinsky
Sep 16, 2024 ● POSITIVE Super important work given what was presented with updated IDFS data with NATALEE! Congrats! 👏 #ESMO24 https://t.co/aVUpV4HG9Q
Kirstin Spencer
@kjscello
Sep 15, 2024 ● NEUTRAL Peter A. Fasching, “In the NATALEE breast cancer trial, a dose reduction of Ribociclib did not impact efficacy…” #ESMO24 @METUPUKorg https://t.co/sXOxHpeCWI
Santhosh Ambika
@RenoHemonc
Sep 15, 2024 ● NEGATIVE Obscenely skewed cost benefit ratio .. https://t.co/rXfJvSzRNb
Andres Ossa
@tumastologo1
Sep 14, 2024 ● NEGATIVE I believe that the benefit in premenopausal women is very short given the economic toxicity and side effects in these patients that would limit its use. #ESMO24 #natalee
Sep 14, 2024 ● POSITIVE Interesting! We observed similar more benefits in patients &lt;40 with Ribociclib + ET in RIGHT Choice trial! https://t.co/nyiSMQxIKz
Sep 14, 2024 ● NEUTRAL #NATALEE trial age &lt; or &gt; 40 years old differ? #efficacy vs #Safety Safety profile? AE lead to discontinuation doubled in age &gt;40 yo specially transaminases? @myESMO @OncoAlert #ESMO24 https://t.co/QwTGo8apN0
Sep 14, 2024 ● POSITIVE Presented by super @LoiSher at #ESMO24 data from the #NATALEE trial on the benefit of adding #ribociclib to adjuvant endocrine therapy according to age…follow-up still short but signal of larger benefit in young women #ESMOAmbassadors @myESMO @OncoAlert https://t.co/3yAIPAujDe
Elisabetta Bonzano MD, PhD
@to_be_elizabeth
Sep 14, 2024 ● NEUTRAL 📌Efficacy and safety of ribociclib (RIB) + nonsteroidal aromatase inhibitor (NSAI) in younger patients (pts) with HR+/HER2-early breast cancer (EBC) in NATALEE @OncoAlert #OncoAlertAF @LoiSher #ESMO24 https://t.co/EMtRrAhgdV
Sep 14, 2024 ● NEUTRAL presents data on young patients treated with #ribociclib in Natalee  #ESMO24 #ESMOAmbassadors https://t.co/y3eP8Yorzo
Yakup Ergün
@dr_yakupergun
Oct 23, 2026 ● NEUTRAL #ESMO26 | NATALEE – 6-year results (Pre-presentation abstract) 6-year OS: 92.73% vs 89.38% (HR 0.809; nominal p=0.019). iDFS: HR 0.741; absolute benefit of 4.1% at 6 years. In monarchE, a 7-year OS benefit was demonstrated (HR 0.842; p=0.027). NATALEE also shows a promising OS signal; however, formal statistical significance has not yet been established. Looking forward to the presentation....
Dr Amol Akhade
@SuyogCancer
Oct 23, 2026 ● NEGATIVE can u suggest me a good magnifying glass ? Asking for a friend 😀 @myESMO #esmo26 As expected, no one talks about nominal p value. https://t.co/aGWpPg4U4M
Yakup Ergün
@dr_yakupergun
Oct 23, 2026 ● NEUTRAL Looks like the discussant is on my side too, Amol! 😉 We acknowledge the limitations of the nominal p-value, but I think it would be unfair to judge ribociclib’s clinical benefit solely on that basis. https://t.co/gQtuwasEEp https://t.co/absCmwDmqD
Sara Tolaney
@stolaney1
Oct 23, 2026 ● NEUTRAL NATALEE: OS data Adjuvant ribociclib in ER+ breast cancer 6 yr OS HR 0.809 (delta 2.1%) BCSS: 0.706 (delta 2.6%) 6 yr iDFS HR 0.741 (delta ~5%) DDFS: HR 0.744 @OncoAlert #ESMO26
ProfJohnCrown
@ProfJohnCrown
Oct 23, 2026 ● POSITIVE Great news! NATALEE is positive for overall survival. Great presentation from Dr Slamon. Big thanks to all the patients, and research nurses who risked themselves during COVID to make this study a success. #ESMO26 #ESMO2026 https://t.co/eqTqJ8Mg83
Oct 23, 2026 ● NEUTRAL #NATALEE OS is here. HR 0.81, 178 vs 205 deaths, 6-year OS difference 2.1%. monarchE was HR 0.84, 1.8% at 7 years. Two CDK4/6 inhibitors, two schedules, strikingly similar survival effect. The OS gap widens after ribociclib stops at year 3, as expected since deaths lag relapses. More importantly, the iDFS curve is still separating after treatment ended. And control patients who relapsed could get a CDK4/6i for metastatic disease, which should shrink the OS difference. The benefit held. What NATALEE adds over monarchE is N0, about 12% of the trial. The iDFS signal is there. N0 OS will be underpowered for a long time, so that conversation in clinic stays an iDFS conversation. #bcsm #ESMO26
Bijoy Telivala
@BijoyTelivala
Oct 23, 2026 ● NEUTRAL We as the oncology community need to think hard if the 2 % OS benefit in Natalee is worth the financial cost esp outside US Herizon data looks great and should be SOC https://t.co/gdQI5jMQmn
Elisa Agostinetto
@ElisaAgostinett
Oct 23, 2026 ● NEUTRAL One of the most awaited abstracts of #ESMO26: OS results of the NataLEE trial Adjuvant ribociclib provides statistically significant ⬆️ OS: delta of 1.2% at 60 months and 2.1% at 72 months (6-years) Confirmed and sustained benefit in IDFS, DDFS and DRFS @OncoAlert https://t.co/XMjNQqwtJH
Hope Rugo
@hoperugo
Oct 23, 2026 ● POSITIVE #ESMO26. The start to an exciting meeting - first two oral BC sessions today. The first session with OS data from Natalee, long term benefit from extended letrozole in B42, huge benefits from 3 novel ADCs in HER2 low/HR+ & Talent. @OncoAlert https://t.co/NsYeBeQYPH
Oct 24, 2026 ● NEGATIVE NATALEE 6-year follow up is the best example of the mess that results in the Frequentist framework both in terms of multiplicity, and testing for any effect, even trivial 🧵 https://t.co/0Y587qAU0D
Timothée Olivier, MD
@Timothee_MD
Oct 22, 2026 ● NEUTRAL #ESMO26 tomorrow the 6-y survival results of the NATALEE trial will be presented in Madrid, 2:25 pm trial = 3 years adjuvant ribociclib in patients with HR+ HER2- early breast cancer. what will be key? 👉 Post-protocol data see why in my talk today at @MDAnderson_ES! https://t.co/L2GO43fOYR
Oncology Brothers
@OncBrothers
Oct 23, 2026 ● NEUTRAL 1. NATALEE: Adj #Ribociclib in HR+ early breast cancer (Stg IIA - III), 400mg daily (3wks on, 1wk off) for 3yrs. - 6yr OS 91.9% vs 89.7, 2.1% absolute OS - HR: 0.809 - AEs: QTc prolongation, Neutropenia. 2/8 https://t.co/W0vqAprD7m https://t.co/2LVGfDDH5L
Oct 23, 2026 ● NEGATIVE Two percentage points is small. We accepted it for taxanes, sure, but that doesn't make it the right bar. NATALEE's OS p-value is nominal, and we don't know how many controls got a CDK4/6i at relapse (in monarchE only 47% got one in 1L), so some of this could be CDK4/6i vs none rather than early vs late. Also open-label, and 7.9% of controls withdrew consent at randomization vs 3.3% on ribo.
MV Chandrakanth
@ChandrakanthMv
Oct 23, 2026 ● POSITIVE 🧬 NATALEE | 6-Year Update 3 years of ribociclib. 6 years of impact? 6 facts that may surprise you! 👀 📌 iDFS benefit widens: +4.1% → +5.3% 📌 OS signal emerges: HR 0.809 — but no alpha allocated! 📌 Benefit persists after a median 38 months off ribociclib. What about breast cancer-specific survival, the Asian subgroup, treatment completion and subsequent CDK4/6 inhibitor use? One cartoon. Two infographics. Six insights. The numbers are encouraging. The nuances matter. Slamon et al. | Annals of Oncology, 2026 #ESMO26 #NATALEE #BreastCancer #Ribociclib #MVOnco @myESMO @OncoAlert
Aya Mohamed | MSc, MD 🎗
@Dr_Oncologista
Oct 23, 2026 ● NEUTRAL NATALEE: 6-Year Update at #ESMO26 Adjuvant ribociclib + NSAI continues to improve iDFS in HR+/HER2− early breast cancer, with updated data showing an OS benefit (HR 0.81; 95% CI, 0.66–0.99) and improved #BreastCancer –specific survival. @OncoAlert #bcsm @myESMO https://t.co/MUiDWRxCjG
Oct 23, 2026 ● NEUTRAL NATALEE 6-year OS analysis shows modest (early…given what we just saw in NSABP42…) improvement in OS. IDFS benefit persists over time. #ESMO26 @OncoAlert https://t.co/sNIIKpV3aG
Oct 23, 2026 ● NEUTRAL 6-year results of Natalee (ribociclib): improvements in OS, BCSS, iDFS, DRFS - some subgroups analyses still required #ESMO26 #ESMOAmbassadors #ESMOcommunity @myESMO @Annals_Oncology https://t.co/acLnDZoxka
Sherene Loi, MD
@LoiSher
Oct 23, 2026 ● NEUTRAL #ESMO26 Natalee 6 year data with improvement in OS including in node negative & no prior chemo patients - with online publication in @Annals_Oncology #bcsm #ESMOAmbassadors @OncoAlert https://t.co/ABh6KQBC7R
Oct 23, 2026 ● POSITIVE Encouraging 6-year #NATALEE results presented at #ESMO26 ! 🎯 Adjuvant ribociclib + NSAI shows a deepening iDFS benefit and favourable OS results in HR+/HER2− early #BreastCancer @OncoAlert https://t.co/h5qTnzff5L
Aydah AlAwadhi, MD 🇦🇪
@Aydah_AlAwadhi
Oct 23, 2026 ● POSITIVE 🚨 ESMO 2026 | NATALEE: Positive OS at 6 yrs! 🔹 OS: HR 0.809 (95% CI 0.661–0.989), P=0.019 🔹 6-yr OS: 91.9% vs 89.7% (Δ 2.1%) 🔹 BCSS: HR 0.706 (~29% ↓ BC mortality) 🔹 iDFS/DDFS/DRFS: ~5% absolute benefit at 6 yrs 🔹 OS benefit generally consistent across subgroups 🔹 Post-recurrence CDK4/6i: 21% vs 44.4% Take-home: First positive OS results from NATALEE, supporting adjuvant RIB in HR+/HER2− EBC. #ESMO26 #NATALEE #BreastCancer #bcsm @OncoAlert
Oct 23, 2026 ● POSITIVE The updated NATALIE trial shows sustained and deepening of the DFS after longer follow up. At this point the absolute gain in OS is 2.1% #ESMO2026 @E_de_Azambuja @matteolambe @myESMO @BarbaraPistill2 @jhaveri_komal https://t.co/dtxlJFKGo0
Pablo Jara Martin
@pablojaramartin
Oct 23, 2026 ● NEUTRAL I see the benefit in high-risk, node-positive patients, especially after the NSABP B-42 data presented at #ESMO26. However, I have more doubts about the N0 population in NATALEE. Great topic!@Rodrosb
Sara Soliman, MD
@sara_soliman7
Oct 23, 2026 ● NEUTRAL #ESMO26 | NATALEE: 6-year outcomes Adjuvant ribociclib + NSAI vs NSAI alone in eligible HR+/HER2− stage II–III EBC: ▪️ OS HR 0.809 (95% CI 0.661–0.989) Absolute 6-year benefit: 2.1 percentage points ▪️ IDFS HR 0.741 (95% CI 0.646–0.849) Absolute 6-year benefit: 5.3 percentage points Benefit persists with patients off ribociclib for a median of ~3 years. 𝘔𝘺 𝘬𝘦𝘺 𝘲𝘶𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯: 𝘐𝘯 𝘤𝘭𝘪𝘯𝘪𝘤𝘢𝘭𝘭𝘺 𝘦𝘭𝘪𝘨𝘪𝘣𝘭𝘦 𝘱𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘦𝘯𝘵𝘴 𝘸𝘪𝘵𝘩 𝘭𝘰𝘸 𝘖𝘯𝘤𝘰𝘵𝘺𝘱𝘦 𝘋𝘟 𝘙𝘚 𝘢𝘯𝘥/𝘰𝘳 𝘭𝘰𝘸 𝘰𝘷𝘦𝘳𝘢𝘭𝘭 𝘳𝘦𝘤𝘶𝘳𝘳𝘦𝘯𝘤𝘦 𝘳𝘪𝘴𝘬, 𝘦𝘴𝘱𝘦𝘤𝘪𝘢𝘭𝘭𝘺 𝘕0 𝘥𝘪𝘴𝘦𝘢𝘴𝘦, 𝘪𝘴 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘢𝘣𝘴𝘰𝘭𝘶𝘵𝘦 𝘣𝘦𝘯𝘦𝘧𝘪𝘵 𝘭𝘢𝘳𝘨𝘦 𝘦𝘯𝘰𝘶𝘨𝘩 𝘵𝘰 𝘫𝘶𝘴𝘵𝘪𝘧𝘺 3 𝘺𝘦𝘢𝘳𝘴 𝘰𝘧 𝘳𝘪𝘣𝘰𝘤𝘪𝘤𝘭𝘪𝘣, 𝘤𝘰𝘯𝘴𝘪𝘥𝘦𝘳𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘵𝘰𝘹𝘪𝘤𝘪𝘵𝘺, 𝘮𝘰𝘯𝘪𝘵𝘰𝘳𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘣𝘶𝘳𝘥𝘦𝘯, 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘘𝘖𝘓? #BreastCancer #NATALEE
Armando Orlandi
@ArmandOrlandi
Oct 23, 2026 ● POSITIVE Cowabunga! 🌊 Riding the Early & Adjuvant Breast Cancer Wave 🏄🏻‍♂️🤙🏻 from #ESMO26 NATALEE, 6 yrs: ribociclib overall survival hazard ratio 0.81, +2.1%. Encouraging, concordant, consistent. But: no alpha, nominal p, fragility ~2–3 deaths. @OncoDaily #OncoDailyAmbassador @OncoAlert
Nurullah İlhan,MD
@drnurullahilhan
Oct 24, 2026 ● NEUTRAL #NATALEE at 6 years: sustained iDFS benefit with adjuvant ribociclib. iDFS: 83.2% vs 77.9%. OS favored ribociclib; nominal significance only, with descriptive analysis outside formal testing. Assoc. Prof. Nurullah İlhan #ESMO2026 #BreastCancer #OncoTwitter https://t.co/ghHUlehacF